Buffalo without James McNeil Jr.

without ,

Buffalo is 2–1 without James McNeil Jr. this season and 3–2 with him. Since 2025, Buffalo is 2–1 in the 3 games he missed and 8–9 with him.

Missed games, per rotowire.com.

, a game

This season

Measure	With James McNeil Jr.5 games	Without3 games	Difference
Record	3–2	2–1
Points, over expected	−0.4	−4.2	+3.8
Rushing yards, over expected	−6.1	+19.5	−25.6
Against the line	−3.4	+6.5	−9.9
Points allowed, over expected	+9.7	−19.4	+29.1
Margin, over expected	−10.1	+16.9	−27.1
Carries, over expected	−1.6	+8.7	−10.2
Yards a carry	4.33	3.94	+0.39
Passing yards, over expected	−20.3	−48.0	+27.7
Pass attempts, over expected	+4.2	−10.3	+14.5
Total yards, over expected	−19.9	−26.3	+6.4
Third-down conversion rate, over expected	−5.1%	−0.3%	−4.8
Penalty yards, over expected	−27.5	−2.9	−24.6

3 games without him is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

Measure	With James McNeil Jr.18 games	Without7 games	Difference
Record	9–9	6–1
Points, over expected	−0.8	+5.1	−6.0
Rushing yards, over expected	−5.5	+10.4	−16.0
Against the line	−3.9	+8.5	−12.4
Points allowed, over expected	+0.9	−5.5	+6.4
Margin, over expected	−1.6	+10.5	−12.0
Carries, over expected	−0.2	+5.9	−6.2
Yards a carry	3.86	4.24	−0.38
Passing yards, over expected	−5.5	−9.5	+4.0
Pass attempts, over expected	+1.2	−3.1	+4.3
Total yards, over expected	−9.9	+0.8	−10.7
Third-down conversion rate, over expected	−4.0%	−0.3%	−3.7
Penalty yards, over expected	−8.5	−20.2	+11.7

Measure	With James McNeil Jr.	Without	Difference
Jason Wright, QB
Passing yards	126.5	160.3	−33.8
Pass attempts	27.0	25.7	+1.3
Messiah Burch, RB
Rushing yards	91.2	129.7	−38.5
Carries	17.0	22.0	−5.0
Nino Hill, RB
Rushing yards	18.5	42.7	−24.2
Carries	4.0	15.7	−11.7
Chance Morrow, WR
Receiving yards	63.0	55.0	+8.0
Receptions	5.4	4.7	+0.7
Clint Walker, TE
Receiving yards	27.6	28.5	−0.9
Receptions	3.4	2.5	+0.9

Measure	With James McNeil Jr.	Without	Difference
Al-Jay Henderson, RB
Rushing yards	67.2	79.9	−12.7
Carries	15.6	15.3	+0.4
Messiah Burch, RB
Rushing yards	41.1	41.8	−0.8
Carries	8.3	6.8	+1.4

With him is a game he played, from the schools’ participation lists, and a box score row where a game has no list; without him is a game the team played while he was on its roster and he didn’t.
Over expected is the team’s average a game over what the season’s ratings expected in each game, the same numbers each measure’s own page reads. “Averages” shows the plain numbers. A game with no expected number sits out.
Against the line is the team’s margin less the closing line’s, the market’s margin before kickoff, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game with no line sits out.
His teammates’ numbers are plain averages a game.
Why he’s out: rotowire.com.