Buffalo’s yards a carry with James McNeil Jr. and without James McNeil Jr.
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Buffalo averaged 4.33 yards a carry with James McNeil Jr. and 3.94 without James McNeil Jr. in 2026, 5 games against 3, a difference of 0.39. Both night games were with James McNeil Jr..
James McNeil Jr., running back: 120 rushing yards and 27 carries in 4 games this season.
3 games without James McNeil Jr. is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.
yards a carry a game
with James McNeil Jr.
4.33
without James McNeil Jr.
3.94
3456
A +0.39 difference in yards a carry with James McNeil Jr. vs without James McNeil Jr. is about what you’d expect.
The games
with James McNeil Jr.without James McNeil Jr.
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsUUAlbany | W | 5.13 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Florida International | L | 2.48 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Penn State | L | 2.97 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsRRobert Morris | W | 4.92 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Western Michigan | L | 2.87 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Toledo | W | 4.02 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vs UMass | W | 4.93 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vs Bowling Green | W | 6.12 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists, which name every player who entered the game.