Buffalo’s yards a carry with James McNeil Jr. and without James McNeil Jr.
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Buffalo averaged 3.86 yards a carry with James McNeil Jr. and 4.24 without James McNeil Jr. over its last 25 games, 18 games against 7, a difference of 0.38. Both night games were with James McNeil Jr..
James McNeil Jr., running back: 202 rushing yards and 41 carries in 12 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with James McNeil Jr.
3.86
without James McNeil Jr.
4.24
246
A −0.38 difference in yards a carry with James McNeil Jr. vs without James McNeil Jr. is about what you’d expect.
The games
with James McNeil Jr.without James McNeil Jr.
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | @ Akron | W | 4.36 | — | |
| Nov 12, 2024 | vs Ball State | W | 5.20 | — | |
| Nov 20, 2024 | @ Eastern Michigan | W | 3.45 | — | |
| Nov 26, 2024 | vs Kent State | W | 4.87 | — | |
| Jan 4, 2025 | vs Liberty (neutral) | W | 4.12 | — | |
| Aug 28, 2025 | @ Minnesota | L | 1.83 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | vsSSt. Francis (PA) | W | 5.87 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | @Kent State | W | 4.79 | — | |
| Sep 20, 2025 | vs Troy | L | 3.68 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs UConn | L | 4.86 | — | |
| Oct 4, 2025 | vsEastern Michigan | W | 3.71 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | @ UMass | W | 2.40 | — | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vsAkron | L | 2.68 | — | |
| Nov 1, 2025 | @ Bowling Green | W | 5.41 | — | |
| Nov 12, 2025 | @ Central Michigan | L | 4 | — | |
| Nov 19, 2025 | vs Miami (OH) | L | 1.39 | — | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Ohio | L | 3.13 | — | |
| Sep 3, 2026 | vsUUAlbany | W | 5.13 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | @ Florida International | L | 2.48 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | @ Penn State | L | 2.97 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vsRRobert Morris | W | 4.92 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Western Michigan | L | 2.87 | — | |
| Oct 10, 2026 | @ Toledo | W | 4.02 | — | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | vsUMass | W | 4.93 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | vsBowling Green | W | 6.12 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 20 of these 25 games; in the other 5 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.