Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Genoa @ Lecce

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Genoa 2, Lecce 1

Genoa at Lecce: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameGenoa1 gameLecce1 game
Goals+0.31−0.61
Goals conceded−0.43+0.98
Expected goals−0.38−0.35
Expected goals conceded−0.30+0.32
Shots−1.4+2.2
Shots conceded+4.5+1.9
Points+1.44−1.70

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Lecce

Genoa

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Lecce’s expected goal difference were 1.23 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.26 under expected.
  • At home, Lecce’s expected goals conceded were 0.58 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.03 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Genoa’s yellow cards were 1.3 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.6 under expected.
  • On the road, Genoa’s points were 1.14 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.56 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 1, 2026at LecceGenoa 2, Lecce 1
May 24, 2026at LecceLecce 1, Genoa 0
Aug 23, 2025at GenoaLecce 0, Genoa 0
Mar 14, 2025at GenoaGenoa 2, Lecce 1
Jan 5, 2025at LecceLecce 0, Genoa 0
Jan 28, 2024at GenoaGenoa 2, Lecce 1
Sep 22, 2023at LecceLecce 1, Genoa 0
Jul 19, 2020at GenoaGenoa 2, Lecce 1
Dec 8, 2019at LecceLecce 2, Genoa 2
Mar 4, 2012at LecceLecce 2, Genoa 2

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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