Genoa
4–1–5 · Beat Lecce 2–1, Nov 1
Next: vs AC Milan, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Genoa has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 0.77 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.15 a game under, 68th of 110.
last 4
+0.77
before
−0.77
-202
Oct 17, 2026 @ AS Roma −1.00
Oct 25, 2026 vs Venezia +0.56
Oct 28, 2026 vs Juventus +2.80
Nov 1, 2026 @ Lecce +0.72
Lately
- Lost 5 of its last 10count
Aug 22 vs Napoli −2
Aug 30 @ Lazio −1
Sep 4 vs Como −3
Sep 12 vs Frosinone 0
Sep 20 @ Parma −1
Oct 10 vs Fiorentina +1- Oct 17 @ AS Roma −2
- Oct 25 vs Venezia +1
- Oct 28 vs Juventus +2
- Nov 1 @ Lecce +1
- Won 4 of its last 10count
- Aug 22 vs Napoli −2
- Aug 30 @ Lazio −1
- Sep 4 vs Como −3
- Sep 12 vs Frosinone 0
- Sep 20 @ Parma −1
- Oct 10 vs Fiorentina +1
- Oct 17 @ AS Roma −2
- Oct 25 vs Venezia +1
- Oct 28 vs Juventus +2
- Nov 1 @ Lecce +1
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 20, 2026 vs Udinese −2
Apr 12, 2026 vs Sassuolo +1- Apr 26, 2026 vs Como −2
May 17, 2026 vs AC Milan −1- Aug 22 vs Napoli −2
- Sep 4 vs Como −3
- Sep 12 vs Frosinone 0
- Oct 10 vs Fiorentina +1
- Oct 25 vs Venezia +1
- Oct 28 vs Juventus +2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.59 · 77th | −0.20 · 35th |
| Expected goals | −0.65 · 96th | −0.09 · 40th |
| Shots | −3.5 · 84th | +1.3 · 64th |
| Points | −0.12 · 46th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.