Lecce
3–0–7 · Lost to Genoa 2–1, Nov 1
Next: at Torino, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Lecce has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 0.27 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.26 a game under, 77th of 110.
last 4
−0.27
before
−0.26
-202
Oct 18, 2026 @ Udinese +3.67
Oct 25, 2026 vs Juventus −0.85
Oct 29, 2026 @ Frosinone −3.17
Nov 1, 2026 vs Genoa −0.72
Lately
- Lost 7 of its last 10count
Aug 23 @ Venezia +2
Aug 31 vs AS Roma −4
Sep 7 @ Cagliari −1
Sep 13 vs Monza +1
Sep 20 @ AC Milan −3
Oct 11 vs Bologna −1- Oct 18 @ Udinese +3
- Oct 25 vs Juventus −2
- Oct 29 @ Frosinone −4
- Nov 1 vs Genoa −1
- Won 4 of its last 10 on the roadcount
- Mar 22, 2026 @ AS Roma −1
- Apr 12, 2026 @ Bologna −2
Apr 25, 2026 @ Hellas Verona 0
May 1, 2026 @ Pisa +1
May 17, 2026 @ Sassuolo +1- Aug 23 @ Venezia +2
- Sep 7 @ Cagliari −1
- Sep 20 @ AC Milan −3
- Oct 18 @ Udinese +3
- Oct 29 @ Frosinone −4
- Won 3 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 8, 2026 vs Cremonese +1
Apr 6, 2026 vs Atalanta −3
Apr 20, 2026 vs Fiorentina 0- May 9, 2026 vs Juventus −1
- May 24, 2026 vs Genoa +1
- Aug 31 vs AS Roma −4
- Sep 13 vs Monza +1
- Oct 11 vs Bologna −1
- Oct 25 vs Juventus −2
- Nov 1 vs Genoa −1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.50 · 72nd | +0.59 · 82nd |
| Expected goals | −0.14 · 56th | +0.45 · 88th |
| Shots | −1.5 · 64th | +1.5 · 68th |
| Points | −0.57 · 81st |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.