Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Lecce @ Torino

Sat, Nov 7 · Serie A · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

The odds have it Torino 1.69, Lecce 1.01.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Lecce at Torino: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameLecce10 gamesTorino10 games
−0.50−0.24
+0.59−0.06
−0.14−0.39
+0.45+0.02
−1.5−3.6
+1.5+1.8
−0.57−0.14

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, Torino’s yellow cards are 1.2 under expected in 5 games. A −1.3 difference in yellow cards over expected at home vs away is unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 5 times in 100.thinthe split →
  • Lecce has lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Feb 1, 2026at TorinoTorino 1, Lecce 0
Nov 30, 2025at LecceLecce 2, Torino 1
May 18, 2025at LecceLecce 1, Torino 0
Sep 15, 2024at TorinoTorino 0, Lecce 0
Feb 16, 2024at TorinoTorino 2, Lecce 0
Oct 28, 2023at LecceTorino 1, Lecce 0
Mar 12, 2023at LecceTorino 2, Lecce 0
Sep 5, 2022at TorinoTorino 1, Lecce 0
Feb 2, 2020at LecceLecce 4, Torino 0
Sep 16, 2019at TorinoLecce 2, Torino 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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