Monza @ Bologna

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Bologna 2, Monza 1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Bologna leads the series 4–1–2 since 2022-23. Bologna has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

Against a bottom-half team, Bologna’s shots conceded were 7.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.5 under expected.
At home, Bologna’s points were 0.97 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.20 over expected.
Monza had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
On the road, Monza’s yellow cards were 0.9 under expected in 5 games. A −1.4 difference in yellow cards over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 14 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 1.0 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.