
Monza
2–1–7 · Lost to Bologna 2–1, Oct 31
Next: vs Atalanta, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Monza has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, by 0.33 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.15 a game under, 70th of 110.
last 4
+0.33
before
−0.48
02
Oct 19, 2026 vs Cagliari +3.91
Oct 23, 2026 @ Torino −0.55
Oct 28, 2026 vs Napoli −1.95
Oct 31, 2026 @ Bologna −0.08
Lately
- Lost 7 of its last 10count
Aug 22 @ Internazionale −3
Aug 29 vs Udinese −1
Sep 6 @ Parma 0
Sep 13 @ Lecce −1
Sep 18 vs Sassuolo +1
Oct 11 @ Lazio −2
Oct 19 vs Cagliari +4
Oct 23 @ Torino −1
Oct 28 vs Napoli −3
Oct 31 @ Bologna −1
- Won 2 of its last 10count
Aug 22 @ Internazionale −3
Aug 29 vs Udinese −1
Sep 6 @ Parma 0
Sep 13 @ Lecce −1
Sep 18 vs Sassuolo +1
Oct 11 @ Lazio −2
Oct 19 vs Cagliari +4
Oct 23 @ Torino −1
Oct 28 vs Napoli −3
Oct 31 @ Bologna −1
- Won 2 of its last 10 at homecount
Mar 2, 2025 vs Torino −2
Mar 15, 2025 vs Parma 0
Apr 5, 2025 vs Como −2
Apr 19, 2025 vs Napoli −1
May 4, 2025 vs Atalanta −4
May 18, 2025 vs Empoli −2
Aug 29 vs Udinese −1
Sep 18 vs Sassuolo +1
Oct 19 vs Cagliari +4
Oct 28 vs Napoli −3
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | +0.10 · 38th | +0.93 · 93rd |
| Expected goals | −0.23 · 69th | +0.10 · 65th |
| Shots | −2.2 · 70th | −0.3 · 43rd |
| Points | −0.79 · 89th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.