Bologna
4–2–4 · Beat Monza 2–1, Oct 31
Next: at Parma, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Bologna has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 0.96 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.15 a game over, 38th of 110.
last 4
+0.97
before
−0.40
-1012
Oct 17, 2026 vs Internazionale −0.92
Oct 24, 2026 @ Cagliari +1.90
Oct 28, 2026 @ AC Milan +2.80
Oct 31, 2026 vs Monza +0.08
Lately
- Won 7 of its last 10 on the roadcount
Mar 15, 2026 @ Sassuolo +1
Apr 5, 2026 @ Cremonese +1
Apr 19, 2026 @ Juventus −2
May 11, 2026 @ Napoli +1
May 17, 2026 @ Atalanta +1- Aug 31 @ Atalanta −1
- Sep 13 @ Napoli −1
Oct 11 @ Lecce +1- Oct 24 @ Cagliari +2
- Oct 28 @ AC Milan +2
- Won 4 of its last 10count
Aug 24 vs Lazio −1- Aug 31 @ Atalanta −1
- Sep 6 vs Sassuolo 0
- Sep 13 @ Napoli −1
Sep 19 vs Torino 0- Oct 11 @ Lecce +1
- Oct 17 vs Internazionale −2
- Oct 24 @ Cagliari +2
- Oct 28 @ AC Milan +2
- Oct 31 vs Monza +1
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
- Aug 24 vs Lazio −1
- Aug 31 @ Atalanta −1
- Sep 6 vs Sassuolo 0
- Sep 13 @ Napoli −1
- Sep 19 vs Torino 0
- Oct 11 @ Lecce +1
- Oct 17 vs Internazionale −2
- Oct 24 @ Cagliari +2
- Oct 28 @ AC Milan +2
- Oct 31 vs Monza +1
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.23 · 58th | −0.39 · 24th |
| Expected goals | −0.11 · 54th | −0.36 · 15th |
| Shots | −3.1 · 80th | −2.6 · 15th |
| Points | +0.01 · 38th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.