Bologna @ Parma

Sat, Nov 7 · Serie A · Ennio Tardini

The odds have it Parma 0.92, Bologna 1.54.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Bologna at Parma: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Bologna10 games	Parma9 games
	−0.23	−1.04
	−0.39	+0.09
	−0.11	−0.59
	−0.36	+0.29
	−3.1	−3.9
	−2.6	+3.8
	+0.01	−0.85

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

Bologna leads the series 10–5–11 since 2002-03.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Bologna has won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →
On the road, Bologna’s yellow cards are 0.7 under expected in 5 games. A −1.8 difference in yellow cards over expected away vs at home is unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 4 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Feb 8, 2026	at Bologna	Parma 1, Bologna 0
Nov 2, 2025	at Parma	Bologna 3, Parma 1
Feb 22, 2025	at Parma	Parma 2, Bologna 0
Oct 6, 2024	at Bologna	Parma 0, Bologna 0
Feb 7, 2021	at Parma	Bologna 3, Parma 0
Sep 28, 2020	at Bologna	Bologna 4, Parma 1
Jul 12, 2020	at Parma	Parma 2, Bologna 2
Nov 24, 2019	at Bologna	Parma 2, Bologna 2
May 13, 2019	at Bologna	Bologna 4, Parma 1
Dec 22, 2018	at Parma	Parma 0, Bologna 0

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.