Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Atalanta @ Monza

Sun, Nov 8 · Serie A · U-Power Stadium

The odds have it Monza 1.41, Atalanta 1.82.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Atalanta at Monza: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameAtalanta9 gamesMonza10 games
+0.19+0.10
+0.34+0.93
−0.13−0.23
+0.33+0.10
−0.2−2.2
+5.5−0.3
−0.21−0.79

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

  • Atalanta leads the series 6–0 since 2022-23. Atalanta has won the last 6.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Monza has lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →
  • At home, Monza’s expected goal difference are 0.88 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • On the road, Atalanta’s points are 0.88 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
May 4, 2025at MonzaAtalanta 4, Monza 0
Oct 30, 2024at AtalantaAtalanta 2, Monza 0
Apr 21, 2024at MonzaAtalanta 2, Monza 1
Sep 2, 2023at AtalantaAtalanta 3, Monza 0
Jun 4, 2023at AtalantaAtalanta 5, Monza 2
Sep 5, 2022at MonzaAtalanta 2, Monza 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next