Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Celta Vigo @ Rayo Vallecano

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Rayo Vallecano 3, Celta Vigo 0

Celta Vigo at Rayo Vallecano: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameCelta Vigo1 gameRayo Vallecano1 game
Goals−1.72+1.62
Goals conceded+1.43−1.09
Expected goals+0.01−0.01
Expected goals conceded−0.10+0.46
Shots−3.5−0.4
Shots conceded−1.4+0.8
Points−1.40+1.58

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Rayo Vallecano

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a top-half team, Rayo Vallecano’s yellow cards were 3.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.1 over expected.
  • At home, Rayo Vallecano’s expected goals were 0.44 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.16 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Celta Vigo’s yellow cards were 1.3 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.8 under expected.
  • On the road, Celta Vigo’s goals conceded were 1.18 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.68 over expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano 3, Celta Vigo 0
Jan 18, 2026at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 3, Rayo Vallecano 0
Sep 21, 2025at Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano 1, Celta Vigo 1
May 18, 2025at Celta VigoRayo Vallecano 2, Celta Vigo 1
Jan 10, 2025at Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano 2, Celta Vigo 1
Mar 31, 2024at Celta VigoRayo Vallecano 0, Celta Vigo 0
Dec 11, 2023at Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano 0, Celta Vigo 0
Mar 11, 2023at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 3, Rayo Vallecano 0
Nov 10, 2022at Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano 0, Celta Vigo 0
Feb 5, 2022at Celta VigoCelta Vigo 2, Rayo Vallecano 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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