Rayo Vallecano
3–3–4 · Beat Celta Vigo 3–0, Oct 31
Next: at Real Sociedad, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Rayo Vallecano has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, 0.24 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.16 a game under, 71st of 110.
last 4
−0.24
before
−0.10
-202
Sep 19, 2026 @ Osasuna +0.01
Oct 19, 2026 @ Getafe −0.09
Oct 24, 2026 vs Elche −3.73
Oct 31, 2026 vs Celta Vigo +2.84
Lately
- Won 6 of its last 10 at homecount
- Apr 3, 2026 vs Elche +1
Apr 23, 2026 vs Espanyol +1
Apr 26, 2026 vs Real Sociedad 0
May 11, 2026 vs Girona 0
May 17, 2026 vs Villarreal +2
Aug 20 vs Alavés 0
Sep 5 vs Racing Santander +1- Sep 15 vs Espanyol +1
- Oct 24 vs Elche −3
- Oct 31 vs Celta Vigo +3
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
Aug 15 @ Sevilla −1- Aug 20 vs Alavés 0
Aug 31 @ Barcelona −3- Sep 5 vs Racing Santander +1
Sep 12 @ Real Madrid −3- Sep 15 vs Espanyol +1
- Sep 19 @ Osasuna 0
- Oct 19 @ Getafe 0
- Oct 24 vs Elche −3
- Oct 31 vs Celta Vigo +3
- Won 3 of its last 10count
- Aug 15 @ Sevilla −1
- Aug 20 vs Alavés 0
- Aug 31 @ Barcelona −3
- Sep 5 vs Racing Santander +1
- Sep 12 @ Real Madrid −3
- Sep 15 vs Espanyol +1
- Sep 19 @ Osasuna 0
- Oct 19 @ Getafe 0
- Oct 24 vs Elche −3
- Oct 31 vs Celta Vigo +3
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.08 · 48th | +0.42 · 75th |
| Expected goals | −0.02 · 46th | +0.02 · 55th |
| Shots | +1.2 · 28th | +2.3 · 82nd |
| Points | −0.20 · 51st |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.