Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Rayo Vallecano @ Real Sociedad

Sun, Nov 8 · La Liga · Reale Arena

The odds have it Real Sociedad 2.05, Rayo Vallecano 1.16.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Rayo Vallecano at Real Sociedad: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameRayo Vallecano10 gamesReal Sociedad11 games
−0.08+0.33
+0.42+0.36
−0.02−0.04
+0.02+0.22
+1.2+0.6
+2.3+2.0
−0.20+0.39

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

If you squint

  • At home, Real Sociedad’s expected goals conceded are 0.58 under expected in 5 games. A −1.12 difference in expected goals conceded over expected at home vs away is rare: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up less than once in 100.thinthe split →
  • On the road, Rayo Vallecano’s points are 0.68 under expected in 5 games. A −1.14 difference in points over expected away vs at home is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up 17 times in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Apr 26, 2026at Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad 3, Rayo Vallecano 3
Oct 5, 2025at Real SociedadRayo Vallecano 1, Real Sociedad 0
Mar 16, 2025at Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad 2, Rayo Vallecano 2
Aug 18, 2024at Real SociedadRayo Vallecano 2, Real Sociedad 1
Jan 27, 2024at Real SociedadReal Sociedad 0, Rayo Vallecano 0
Oct 29, 2023at Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad 2, Rayo Vallecano 2
Apr 22, 2023at Real SociedadReal Sociedad 2, Rayo Vallecano 1
Jan 21, 2023at Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad 2, Rayo Vallecano 0
May 1, 2022at Rayo VallecanoReal Sociedad 1, Rayo Vallecano 1
Aug 22, 2021at Real SociedadReal Sociedad 1, Rayo Vallecano 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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