
Celta Vigo
2–6–3 · Lost to Rayo Vallecano 3–0, Oct 31
Next: vs Levante, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Celta Vigo has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 0.61 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.15 a game under, 69th of 110.
last 4
−0.61
before
+0.11
-2024
Oct 11, 2026 @ Elche −0.21
Oct 18, 2026 vs Alavés +0.64
Oct 25, 2026 vs Real Betis −0.03
Oct 31, 2026 @ Rayo Vallecano −2.84
Lately
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
Apr 12, 2026 vs Real Oviedo −3
May 3, 2026 vs Elche +2
May 12, 2026 vs Levante −1
May 23, 2026 vs Sevilla +1
Aug 27 vs Osasuna −1
Aug 30 vs Athletic Club −2
Sep 13 vs Málaga 0
Sep 19 vs Racing Santander +5
Oct 18 vs Alavés +1
Oct 25 vs Real Betis 0
- Lost 3 of its last 10count
Aug 27 vs Osasuna −1
Aug 30 vs Athletic Club −2
Sep 3 @ Real Sociedad 0
Sep 7 @ Getafe 0
Sep 13 vs Málaga 0
Sep 19 vs Racing Santander +5
Oct 11 @ Elche 0
Oct 18 vs Alavés +1
Oct 25 vs Real Betis 0
Oct 31 @ Rayo Vallecano −3
- Won 2 of its last 10count
Aug 27 vs Osasuna −1
Aug 30 vs Athletic Club −2
Sep 3 @ Real Sociedad 0
Sep 7 @ Getafe 0
Sep 13 vs Málaga 0
Sep 19 vs Racing Santander +5
Oct 11 @ Elche 0
Oct 18 vs Alavés +1
Oct 25 vs Real Betis 0
Oct 31 @ Rayo Vallecano −3
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.75 · 86th | −0.47 · 20th |
| Expected goals | −0.64 · 94th | −0.06 · 46th |
| Shots | −4.7 · 95th | +0.5 · 53rd |
| Points | −0.41 · 71st |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.