Levante @ Celta Vigo

Sun, Nov 8 · La Liga · Balaidos

The odds have it Celta Vigo 1.68, Levante 1.03.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Levante at Celta Vigo: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Levante11 games	Celta Vigo11 games
	−0.09	−0.75
	+0.27	−0.47
	−0.07	−0.64
	+0.31	−0.06
	−1.2	−4.7
	+1.4	+0.5
	−0.43	−0.41

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

The series

Celta Vigo leads the series 12–6–4 since 2006-07.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

At home, Celta Vigo’s yellow cards are 0.8 under expected in 6 games. A −1.4 difference in yellow cards over expected at home vs away is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at home and it comes up 6 times in 100.thinthe split →
On the road, Levante’s shots are 5.4 under expected in 6 games. A −10.3 difference in shots over expected away vs at home is unusual: shuffle which games were away and it comes up once in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
May 12, 2026	at Celta Vigo	Levante 3, Celta Vigo 2
Nov 2, 2025	at Levante	Celta Vigo 2, Levante 1
Feb 21, 2022	at Celta Vigo	Celta Vigo 1, Levante 1
Sep 21, 2021	at Levante	Celta Vigo 2, Levante 0
Apr 30, 2021	at Celta Vigo	Celta Vigo 2, Levante 0
Oct 26, 2020	at Levante	Celta Vigo 1, Levante 1
Jul 16, 2020	at Celta Vigo	Levante 3, Celta Vigo 2
Dec 22, 2019	at Levante	Levante 3, Celta Vigo 1
Feb 16, 2019	at Celta Vigo	Levante 4, Celta Vigo 1
Aug 27, 2018	at Levante	Celta Vigo 2, Levante 1

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.