Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Everton @ Arsenal

Sat, Oct 24, 2026

Arsenal 2, Everton 0

Everton at Arsenal: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameEverton1 gameArsenal1 game
Goals−1.22+0.53
Goals conceded+0.25−1.18
Expected goals−0.39+0.77
Expected goals conceded+0.58−0.64
Shots−3.4+5.5
Shots conceded+5.3−5.5
Points−0.78+1.68

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Arsenal

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Arsenal

  • Arsenal had won 8 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.

The series

  • Arsenal leads the series 28–10–11 since 2002-03. Arsenal has won the last 3.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Arsenal had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Against a top-half team, Arsenal’s expected goals were 0.58 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.46 over expected.
  • After a Champions League game, Arsenal’s goals conceded were 0.97 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.74 under expected.
  • At home, Arsenal’s goals were 0.76 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.46 over expected.
  • On the road, Everton’s expected goals were 0.30 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.19 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 24, 2026at ArsenalArsenal 2, Everton 0
Mar 14, 2026at ArsenalArsenal 2, Everton 0
Dec 20, 2025at EvertonArsenal 1, Everton 0
Apr 5, 2025at EvertonArsenal 1, Everton 1
Dec 14, 2024at ArsenalArsenal 0, Everton 0
May 19, 2024at ArsenalArsenal 2, Everton 1
Sep 17, 2023at EvertonArsenal 1, Everton 0
Mar 1, 2023at ArsenalArsenal 4, Everton 0
Feb 4, 2023at EvertonEverton 1, Arsenal 0
May 22, 2022at ArsenalArsenal 5, Everton 1

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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