Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Arsenal

10–1–1 · Beat Liverpool 1–0, Nov 1

Next: at Slavia Prague, Wed, Nov 4 · analysis

Against the closing odds

Arsenal has beaten the odds in 3 of its last 4, by 0.35 goals a game. Over the season it’s 0.04 a game over, 52nd of 110.

  • Nottingham Forest Oct 18, 2026 @ Nottingham Forest −0.17
  • Bayern Munich Oct 21, 2026 @ Bayern Munich +0.16
  • Everton Oct 24, 2026 vs Everton +0.53
  • Liverpool Nov 1, 2026 @ Liverpool +0.87

every game, with the odds

Lately

  • Won 9 straight at homestreak
    • Newcastle United Apr 25, 2026 vs Newcastle United +1
    • Fulham May 2, 2026 vs Fulham +3
    • Atlético Madrid May 5, 2026 vs Atlético Madrid +1
    • Burnley May 18, 2026 vs Burnley +1
    • Coventry City Aug 21 vs Coventry City +3
    • Chelsea Sep 6 vs Chelsea +1
    • Leeds United Oct 10 vs Leeds United +1
    • Lille Oct 13 vs Lille +3
    • Everton Oct 24 vs Everton +2
    the games, with the score
    Arsenal has won 9 straight at home. Every game of it.
    DateGameResultScore
    Apr 25, 2026Arsenal vsNewcastle UnitedW1–0
    May 2, 2026Arsenal vsFulhamW3–0
    May 5, 2026Arsenal vsAtlético MadridW1–0
    May 18, 2026Arsenal vsBurnleyW1–0
    Aug 21, 2026Arsenal vsCoventry CityW3–0
    Sep 6, 2026Arsenal vsChelseaW2–1
    Oct 10, 2026Arsenal vsLeeds UnitedW2–1
    Oct 13, 2026Arsenal vsLilleW3–0
    Oct 24, 2026Arsenal vsEvertonW2–0
  • Won 8 of its last 10count
    • Chelsea Sep 6 vs Chelsea +1
    • Napoli Sep 9 @ Napoli +1
    • Sunderland Sep 12 @ Sunderland +2
    • Brighton & Hove Albion Sep 19 @ Brighton & Hove Albion −3
    • Leeds United Oct 10 vs Leeds United +1
    • Lille Oct 13 vs Lille +3
    • Nottingham Forest Oct 18 @ Nottingham Forest +1
    • Bayern Munich Oct 21 @ Bayern Munich 0
    • Everton Oct 24 vs Everton +2
    • Liverpool Nov 1 @ Liverpool +1
  • Won 7 of its last 10 on the roadcount
    • Atlético Madrid Apr 29, 2026 @ Atlético Madrid 0
    • West Ham United May 10, 2026 @ West Ham United +1
    • Crystal Palace May 24, 2026 @ Crystal Palace +1
    • Aston Villa Aug 31 @ Aston Villa +1
    • Napoli Sep 9 @ Napoli +1
    • Sunderland Sep 12 @ Sunderland +2
    • Brighton & Hove Albion Sep 19 @ Brighton & Hove Albion −3
    • Nottingham Forest Oct 18 @ Nottingham Forest +1
    • Bayern Munich Oct 21 @ Bayern Munich 0
    • Liverpool Nov 1 @ Liverpool +1

every kind

Against expected,

Against expected, this season, a game
a gameattackdefense
Goals+0.18 · 32nd−1.11 · 1st
Expected goals+0.41 · 11th−0.74 · 2nd
Shots+0.9 · 33rd−4.5 · 5th
Points+1.32 · 1st

Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.

every stat, every team

Arsenal’s splits

Method

  • Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
  • Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.