Arsenal @ Slavia Prague

Wed, Nov 4 · Champions League · Fortuna Arena

The odds have it Slavia Prague 0.58, Arsenal 2.37.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Arsenal at Slavia Prague: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Arsenal12 games	Slavia Prague3 games
	+0.18	−0.59
	−1.11	+1.18
	+0.41	+0.20
	−0.74	+0.09
	+0.9	+2.2
	−4.5	+4.4
	+1.32	−1.43

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Arsenal

Arsenal has won 9 straight at home.streakthe runs →

The series

Arsenal leads the series 2–0–1 since 2007-08.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

At home, Slavia Prague’s shots conceded are 13.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Arsenal has won 8 of its last 10.countits form →
Arsenal has won 7 of its last 10 on the road.countits form →
In the Champions League, Arsenal’s expected goals are 0.57 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Nov 4, 2025	at Slavia Prague	Arsenal 3, Slavia Prague 0
Nov 7, 2007	at Slavia Prague	Slavia Prague 0, Arsenal 0
Oct 23, 2007	at Arsenal	Arsenal 7, Slavia Prague 0

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
A game with no box score sits out.