Everton
2–4–2 · Lost to Arsenal 2–0, Oct 24
Next: vs Coventry City, Fri, Nov 6 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Everton has beaten the odds in 1 of its last 4, 0.69 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.05 a game over, 51st of 110.
last 4
−0.69
before
+0.78
-101
Sep 19, 2026 vs Ipswich Town +0.20
Oct 11, 2026 @ Hull City −0.58
Oct 17, 2026 vs Chelsea −1.83
Oct 24, 2026 @ Arsenal −0.53
Lately
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
May 17, 2026 vs Sunderland −2
May 24, 2026 @ Tottenham Hotspur −1
Aug 22 vs Crystal Palace +2
Aug 29 @ AFC Bournemouth 0
Sep 6 vs Manchester United 0- Sep 12 @ Tottenham Hotspur 0
- Sep 19 vs Ipswich Town +1
- Oct 11 @ Hull City 0
- Oct 17 vs Chelsea −2
- Oct 24 @ Arsenal −2
- Won 4 of its last 10 at homecount
- Feb 23, 2026 vs Manchester United −1
Mar 3, 2026 vs Burnley +2- Mar 21, 2026 vs Chelsea +3
Apr 19, 2026 vs Liverpool −1
May 4, 2026 vs Manchester City 0- May 17, 2026 vs Sunderland −2
- Aug 22 vs Crystal Palace +2
- Sep 6 vs Manchester United 0
- Sep 19 vs Ipswich Town +1
- Oct 17 vs Chelsea −2
- Won 2 of its last 10count
- May 17, 2026 vs Sunderland −2
- May 24, 2026 @ Tottenham Hotspur −1
- Aug 22 vs Crystal Palace +2
- Aug 29 @ AFC Bournemouth 0
- Sep 6 vs Manchester United 0
- Sep 12 @ Tottenham Hotspur 0
- Sep 19 vs Ipswich Town +1
- Oct 11 @ Hull City 0
- Oct 17 vs Chelsea −2
- Oct 24 @ Arsenal −2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.58 · 76th | −0.40 · 22nd |
| Expected goals | −0.19 · 61st | +0.24 · 74th |
| Shots | 0.0 · 46th | +0.9 · 57th |
| Points | −0.13 · 47th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.