Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Rayo Vallecano @ Getafe

Mon, Oct 19, 2026

Getafe 1, Rayo Vallecano 1

Rayo Vallecano at Getafe: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameRayo Vallecano1 gameGetafe1 game
Goals−0.49−0.83
Goals conceded−0.17−0.43
Expected goals+0.46−0.57
Expected goals conceded−0.13+0.36
Shots+7.7−3.8
Shots conceded−0.2+7.8
Points−0.42−0.59

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Getafe

Rayo Vallecano

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • Against a bottom-half team, Getafe’s shots were 7.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.5 under expected.
  • At home, Getafe’s goals conceded were 0.76 under expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.44 under expected.
  • Against a bottom-half team, Rayo Vallecano’s shots conceded were 5.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.5 under expected.
  • On the road, Rayo Vallecano’s goals conceded were 0.79 over expected in 4 games. 4 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.45 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 19, 2026at GetafeGetafe 1, Rayo Vallecano 1
May 3, 2026at GetafeRayo Vallecano 2, Getafe 0
Jan 2, 2026at Rayo VallecanoGetafe 1, Rayo Vallecano 1
May 2, 2025at Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano 1, Getafe 0
Aug 24, 2024at GetafeGetafe 0, Rayo Vallecano 0
Apr 13, 2024at Rayo VallecanoGetafe 0, Rayo Vallecano 0
Jan 2, 2024at GetafeRayo Vallecano 2, Getafe 0
Feb 12, 2023at GetafeGetafe 1, Rayo Vallecano 1
Oct 14, 2022at Rayo VallecanoGetafe 0, Rayo Vallecano 0
May 8, 2022at GetafeGetafe 0, Rayo Vallecano 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

Read next