
Getafe
3–3–5 · Beat Sevilla 3–1, Nov 1
Next: at Villarreal, Sun, Nov 8 · analysis
Against the closing odds
Getafe has beaten the odds in 2 of its last 4, 0.27 goals a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.31 a game under, 79th of 110.
last 4
−0.27
before
−0.33
-202
Oct 10, 2026 @ Barcelona −0.48
Oct 19, 2026 vs Rayo Vallecano +0.09
Oct 25, 2026 @ Athletic Club −3.00
Nov 1, 2026 vs Sevilla +2.32
Lately
- Won 5 of its last 10 at homecount
Apr 25, 2026 vs Barcelona −2
May 3, 2026 vs Rayo Vallecano −2
May 13, 2026 vs Mallorca +2
May 23, 2026 vs Osasuna +1
Aug 23 vs Racing Santander +1
Sep 7 vs Celta Vigo 0
Sep 13 vs Deportivo 0
Sep 20 vs Málaga +1
Oct 19 vs Rayo Vallecano 0
Nov 1 vs Sevilla +2
- Lost 4 of its last 10count
Aug 23 vs Racing Santander +1
Aug 31 @ Osasuna −1
Sep 7 vs Celta Vigo 0
Sep 13 vs Deportivo 0
Sep 17 @ Real Betis −1
Sep 20 vs Málaga +1
Oct 10 @ Barcelona −3
Oct 19 vs Rayo Vallecano 0
Oct 25 @ Athletic Club −4
Nov 1 vs Sevilla +2
- Won 3 of its last 10count
Aug 23 vs Racing Santander +1
Aug 31 @ Osasuna −1
Sep 7 vs Celta Vigo 0
Sep 13 vs Deportivo 0
Sep 17 @ Real Betis −1
Sep 20 vs Málaga +1
Oct 10 @ Barcelona −3
Oct 19 vs Rayo Vallecano 0
Oct 25 @ Athletic Club −4
Nov 1 vs Sevilla +2
Against expected,
| a game | attack | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | −0.90 · 92nd | −0.10 · 44th |
| Expected goals | −0.62 · 93rd | −0.23 · 21st |
| Shots | −3.2 · 81st | +1.1 · 61st |
| Points | −0.31 · 63rd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 96 clubs, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten.
Method
- Against the odds is each game’s goal difference less what the closing odds expected, from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.