Putting Up Numbers· Soccer

Getafe @ Villarreal

Sun, Nov 8 · La Liga · Estadio de la Cerámica

The odds have it Villarreal 2.01, Getafe 0.79.Expected goals from DraftKings’ closing odds on ESPN’s match pages, as of Nov 4. Odds move until kickoff.

Getafe at Villarreal: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameGetafe11 gamesVillarreal14 games
−0.90+0.10
−0.10+0.10
−0.62+0.28
−0.23−0.16
−3.2+2.1
+1.1−1.6
−0.31−0.28

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Villarreal

  • Villarreal’s goals conceded are 1.07 higher in the Champions League than in the league against expected over its last 75 games, 1st of 28 teams.fact · rankedthe split →

The series

If you squint

  • On the road, Getafe’s goals are 1.06 under expected in 5 games. A −1.07 difference in goals over expected away vs at home is rare: shuffle which games were away and it comes up once in 100.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Feb 14, 2026at GetafeGetafe 2, Villarreal 1
Dec 6, 2025at VillarrealVillarreal 2, Getafe 0
Mar 30, 2025at GetafeVillarreal 2, Getafe 1
Oct 20, 2024at VillarrealVillarreal 1, Getafe 1
Feb 16, 2024at VillarrealVillarreal 1, Getafe 1
Sep 30, 2023at GetafeVillarreal 0, Getafe 0
Feb 27, 2023at VillarrealVillarreal 2, Getafe 1
Aug 28, 2022at GetafeVillarreal 0, Getafe 0
Apr 16, 2022at GetafeVillarreal 2, Getafe 1
Nov 7, 2021at VillarrealVillarreal 1, Getafe 0

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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