Iowa without Nathan McNeil

without ,

Iowa is 2–1 without Nathan McNeil this season and 4–1 with him. Since 2025, Iowa is 4–3 in the 7 games he missed and 11–3 with him.

, a game

This season

Measure	With Nathan McNeil5 games	Without3 games	Difference
Record	4–1	2–1
Points, over expected	−4.5	+4.5	−9.0
Rushing yards, over expected	+1.1	−13.0	+14.1
Against the line	+6.3	+7.7	−1.4
Points allowed, over expected	−11.2	+5.3	−16.5
Margin, over expected	+4.6	−1.0	+5.6
Carries, over expected	+1.5	−5.3	+6.8
Yards a carry	5.57	3.73	+1.84
Passing yards, over expected	−19.2	+10.7	−29.9
Pass attempts, over expected	+1.9	−2.0	+3.9
Total yards, over expected	−18.6	+3.0	−21.6
Third-down conversion rate, over expected	−2.2%	+3.3%	−5.5
Penalty yards, over expected	−21.6	−1.0	−20.7

3 games without him is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

Measure	With Nathan McNeil14 games	Without7 games	Difference
Record	11–3	4–3
Points, over expected	+1.4	−2.0	+3.4
Rushing yards, over expected	+2.1	−2.7	+4.8
Against the line	+10.0	+2.9	+7.1
Points allowed, over expected	−5.7	+2.2	−7.9
Margin, over expected	+5.6	−4.8	+10.4
Carries, over expected	+0.7	−1.8	+2.5
Yards a carry	5.13	4.17	+0.96
Passing yards, over expected	−13.6	−22.3	+8.7
Pass attempts, over expected	+0.2	−4.0	+4.2
Total yards, over expected	−5.7	−19.9	+14.1
Third-down conversion rate, over expected	+2.2%	−2.7%	+4.9
Penalty yards, over expected	−20.4	+1.7	−22.1

Measure	With Nathan McNeil	Without	Difference
Hank Brown, QB
Passing yards	166.2	179.5	−13.3
Pass attempts	21.4	31.0	−9.6
Kamari Moulton, RB
Rushing yards	87.3	93.0	−5.7
Carries	12.0	16.7	−4.7
Jeremy Hecklinski, QB
Passing yards	67.7	134.5	−66.8
Pass attempts	14.3	12.0	+2.3
Xavier Williams, RB
Rushing yards	51.4	4.0	+47.4
Carries	8.0	2.5	+5.5
Tony Diaz, WR
Receiving yards	66.6	42.7	+23.9
Receptions	4.4	3.7	+0.7

Measure	With Nathan McNeil	Without	Difference
Kaden Wetjen, WR
Receiving yards	14.2	5.8	+8.5
Receptions	1.8	1.0	+0.8
Kamari Moulton, RB
Rushing yards	79.7	90.3	−10.6
Carries	14.5	16.2	−1.7

With him is a game he played, from the schools’ participation lists, and a box score row where a game has no list; without him is a game the team played while he was on its roster and he didn’t.
Over expected is the team’s average a game over what the season’s ratings expected in each game, the same numbers each measure’s own page reads. “Averages” shows the plain numbers. A game with no expected number sits out.
Against the line is the team’s margin less the closing line’s, the market’s margin before kickoff, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game with no line sits out.
His teammates’ numbers are plain averages a game.