Iowa’s yards a carry with Nathan McNeil and without Nathan McNeil
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Iowa averaged 5.13 yards a carry with Nathan McNeil and 4.17 without Nathan McNeil over its last 25 games, 14 games against 7, a difference of 0.96. Both opponents outside the major colleges were with Nathan McNeil. All 3 games after a bye were with Nathan McNeil.
Nathan McNeil, running back: 297 rushing yards, 58 carries and 10 receptions in 12 of those 25 games.
yards a carry a game
with Nathan McNeil
5.13
without Nathan McNeil
4.17
510
A +0.96 difference in yards a carry with Nathan McNeil vs without Nathan McNeil is about what you’d expect.
The games
with Nathan McNeilwithout Nathan McNeil
| Side | Date | Game | Result | yards a carry | Expected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | @ UCLA | L | 2.58 | — | |
| Nov 23, 2024 | @ Maryland | W | 4.79 | — | |
| Nov 29, 2024 | vs Nebraska | W | 1.88 | — | |
| Dec 30, 2024 | vs Missouri (neutral) | L | 4.97 | — | |
| Aug 30, 2025 | vsUUAlbany | W | 5.85 | — | |
| Sep 6, 2025 | @ Iowa State | L | 3.36 | — | |
| Sep 13, 2025 | vs UMass | W | 5.03 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2025 | @ Rutgers | W | 4.61 | — | |
| Sep 27, 2025 | vs Indiana | L | 2.97 | — | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Wisconsin | W | 5.83 | — | |
| Oct 18, 2025 | vs Penn State | W | 7.66 | — | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | vs Minnesota | W | 3.86 | — | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | vs Oregon | L | 3.33 | — | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ USC | L | 5.55 | — | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Michigan State | W | 3.95 | — | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | @Nebraska | W | 4.78 | — | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vs Vanderbilt (neutral) | W | 5.12 | — | |
| Sep 5, 2026 | vs Northern Illinois | W | 7.61 | — | |
| Sep 12, 2026 | vsIowa State | W | 3.21 | — | |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vsNNorthern Iowa | W | 10.29 | — | |
| Sep 26, 2026 | @ Michigan | W | 2.42 | — | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | vs Ohio State | L | 1.86 | — | |
| Oct 9, 2026 | @ Washington | W | 6.92 | — | |
| Oct 24, 2026 | @Minnesota | L | 3 | — | |
| Oct 31, 2026 | vsWisconsin | W | 3.77 | — |
Method
- The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
- Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 16 of these 21 games; in the other 5 a player is counted as in them when the box score has a stat for him.
- 4 games in 2024 are neither with Nathan McNeil nor without Nathan McNeil: Nathan McNeil had no game for the team that season, and sit out.