Putting Up Numbers· college football

Iowa’s yards a carry with Nathan McNeil and without Nathan McNeil

, ,

Iowa averaged 5.57 yards a carry with Nathan McNeil and 3.73 without Nathan McNeil in 2026, 5 games against 3, a difference of 1.84. All 3 nonconference games were with Nathan McNeil.

Nathan McNeil, running back: 128 rushing yards, 21 carries and 5 receptions in 4 games this season.

3 games without Nathan McNeil is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.

yards a carry a game

A +1.84 difference in yards a carry with Nathan McNeil vs without Nathan McNeil is about what you’d expect.

The games

with Nathan McNeilwithout Nathan McNeil
Iowa’s games, 2026, each marked with Nathan McNeil or without Nathan McNeil
SideDateGameResultyards a carryExpected
Sep 5, 2026vsNorthern IllinoisW7.61—
Sep 12, 2026vsIowa StateW3.21—
Sep 19, 2026vsNNorthern IowaW10.29—
Sep 26, 2026@MichiganW2.42—
Oct 3, 2026vsOhio StateL1.86—
Oct 9, 2026@WashingtonW6.92—
Oct 24, 2026@MinnesotaL3—
Oct 31, 2026vsWisconsinW3.77—

Method

Read against .

  • The shuffle keeps the season’s shape: the games are cut in two where one date leaves the least variance, each game is read against its stretch, and the sides are shuffled only inside each stretch.
  • Who played is read from the schools’ box scores’ participation lists for 7 of these 8 games; in the other game a player is counted as in it when the box score has a stat for him.