Putting Up Numbers· college football

Louisiana Tech @ South Alabama

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Louisiana Tech 35, South Alabama 20Louisiana Tech was favored by 6.5, and Louisiana Tech covered.

Louisiana Tech at South Alabama: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameLouisiana Tech1 gameSouth Alabama1 game
Points+5.4−6.4
Points allowed−12.3+8.7
Total offense, yards−78+18
Total defense, yards−15−40
Touchdowns+1.2−0.3
Passer rating+99.0−24.5
Third downs−21.1%+2.6%
Sacks+1.6−0.6
Penalty yards−24.9+40.8
Turnovers forced+0.7−1.2
Turnovers lost−1.3+0.6

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

South Alabama

Louisiana Tech

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

South Alabama

  • South Alabama had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
  • South Alabama was 2.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 44th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−8.5 against the line this game.

Louisiana Tech

  • Louisiana Tech’s total yards were 160.2 higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 129.7 under expected.
  • Louisiana Tech’s third-down conversion rate were 19.8% higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 134 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 24.1% under expected.
  • Louisiana Tech had covered 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Louisiana Tech had beaten 4 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Louisiana Tech had won 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
  • Louisiana Tech had won 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Louisiana Tech was 8.3 points a game over the closing line this season, 8th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+8.5 against the line this game.

The series

If you squint

  • After a bye, South Alabama’s points were 24.7 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 10.2 under expected.
  • At home, South Alabama’s pass attempts were 9.0 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.8 over expected.
  • In a conference game, South Alabama’s pass attempts were 6.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.8 over expected.
  • Louisiana Tech had covered 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Louisiana Tech was 3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • In a conference game, Louisiana Tech’s passing yards were 66.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 80.9 under expected.
  • On the road, Louisiana Tech’s passing yards were 44.3 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 80.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Oct 31, 2026at South AlabamaLouisiana Tech 35, South Alabama 20
Sep 24, 2022at South AlabamaSouth Alabama 38, Louisiana Tech 14
Sep 1, 2018at South AlabamaLouisiana Tech 30, South Alabama 26
Sep 30, 2017at Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech 34, South Alabama 16

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 30, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.