Kennesaw State @ 
Middle Tennessee
Kennesaw State 44, Middle Tennessee 28Kennesaw State was favored by 1.5, and Kennesaw State covered.
| a game | Kennesaw State1 game | Middle Tennessee1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +17.7 | −1.1 |
| Points allowed | +3.2 | +25.5 |
| Total offense, yards | −59 | −37 |
| Total defense, yards | +23 | −5 |
| Touchdowns | +1.8 | −1.4 |
| Passer rating | +81.0 | −66.5 |
| Third downs | −19.3% | +13.5% |
| Sacks | +0.5 | +0.3 |
| Penalty yards | +16.9 | −3.5 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.7 | +0.8 |
Who put up numbers
Middle Tennessee
- Passing yardsRoman Gagliano183 passing yards
- Rushing yardsAntonio Martin106 rushing yards
- Rushing touchdownsRoman Gagliano1 rushing touchdown
Kennesaw State
Analysis
Middle Tennessee
- Middle Tennessee had covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Middle Tennessee had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Middle Tennessee was 0.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 67th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−14.5 against the line this game.
Kennesaw State
- Kennesaw State had lost 6 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- Kennesaw State was 2.0 points a game under the closing line this season, 97th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+14.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Kennesaw State leads the series 2–1 since 2024. Kennesaw State has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Middle Tennessee had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
- Middle Tennessee was 4–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- At home, Middle Tennessee’s points of margin were 13.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 20.0 under expected.
- In a conference game, Middle Tennessee’s total yards were 48.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 2.9 under expected.
- In a conference game, Kennesaw State’s penalty yards were 26.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 14.7 over expected.
- On the road, Kennesaw State’s penalty yards were 22.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 14.7 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | at Middle Tennessee | Kennesaw State 44, Middle Tennessee 28 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | at Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State 24, Middle Tennessee 16 |
| Oct 15, 2024 | at Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee 14, Kennesaw State 5 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 27, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.