Delaware @ Kennesaw State

Sat, Nov 7 · Fifth Third Stadium

The line has it Delaware 30, Kennesaw State 28.Delaware −2, total 57, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

Delaware at Kennesaw State: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	Delaware8 games	Kennesaw State8 games
	+0.1	−6.2
	+6.4	+2.3
	−10	−39
	+77	+39
	+0.2	−0.9
	+1.2	+1.7
	−5.4%	−4.2%
	+0.6	−1.0
	−1.0	+14.5
	+0.3	−0.1
	+0.1	−0.1

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Kennesaw State

Kennesaw State is 0.1 points a game over the closing line this season, 72nd of 136.fact · rankedits form →

Delaware

Delaware is 2.7 points a game over the closing line this season, 43rd of 136.fact · rankedits form →

If you squint

Kennesaw State has covered 8 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
Kennesaw State has lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →
Kennesaw State has won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
Kennesaw State is 3–1 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →
Since Latrelle Murrell’s last game, Kennesaw State’s pass attempts are 13.2 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
After a bye, Kennesaw State’s penalty yards are 79.2 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
At home, Kennesaw State’s pass attempts are 6.4 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
Delaware has covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →
Delaware is 3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Without Nick Minicucci, Delaware’s penalty yards are 22.6 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
After a bye, Delaware’s penalty yards are 50.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.