Georgia State @ 
Arkansas State
Arkansas State 38, Georgia State 32Georgia State was favored by 2.5, and Arkansas State covered.
| a game | Georgia State1 game | Arkansas State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +6.4 | +8.9 |
| Points allowed | +10.5 | +4.5 |
| Total offense, yards | +48 | +89 |
| Total defense, yards | +98 | +37 |
| Touchdowns | +0.7 | +1.5 |
| Passer rating | +14.0 | +31.1 |
| Third downs | −7.4% | −16.7% |
| Sacks | +0.1 | +0.2 |
| Penalty yards | +0.3 | +0.5 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | +0.8 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.8 | −1.3 |
Who put up numbers
Arkansas State
- Passing yardsTrey Owens309 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsTrey Owens2 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsKenyon Clay77 rushing yards
Georgia State
Analysis
Arkansas State
- Arkansas State was 0.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 79th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+8.5 against the line this game.
Georgia State
- Georgia State was 11.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 5th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−8.5 against the line this game.
The series
- Arkansas State leads the series 8–2 since 2013. Arkansas State has won the last 2. Arkansas State has won 5 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- At home, Arkansas State’s third-down conversion rate were 18.7% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 21.5% under expected.
- In a conference game, Arkansas State’s rushing yards were 47.6 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 31.7 over expected.
- At night, Arkansas State’s rushing yards were 38.0 under expected in 4 games. A −55.0 difference in rushing yards over expected at night vs by day is a bit unusual: shuffle which games were at night and it comes up 14 times in 100.thinthe split →This game: 31.7 over expected.
- At night, Georgia State’s total yards were 129.0 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 39.3 over expected.
- On the road, Georgia State’s rushing yards were 75.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.5 under expected.
- In a conference game, Georgia State’s pass attempts were 7.6 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.0 over expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 38, Georgia State 32 |
| Nov 16, 2024 | at Georgia State | Arkansas State 27, Georgia State 20 |
| Nov 20, 2021 | at Georgia State | Georgia State 28, Arkansas State 20 |
| Oct 15, 2020 | at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 59, Georgia State 52 |
| Oct 5, 2019 | at Georgia State | Georgia State 52, Arkansas State 38 |
| Oct 18, 2018 | at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 51, Georgia State 35 |
| Nov 3, 2016 | at Georgia State | Arkansas State 31, Georgia State 16 |
| Oct 31, 2015 | at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 48, Georgia State 34 |
| Oct 11, 2014 | at Georgia State | Arkansas State 52, Georgia State 10 |
| Nov 23, 2013 | at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 35, Georgia State 33 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 23, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.