Georgia State
4–4 · 1–3 Sun Belt · Dell McGee, 3rd season
Lost to Coastal Carolina 31–20, Oct 31 · Next: at Appalachian State, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
Georgia State has beaten the line in 1 of its last 4, 3.1 points a game under it. Over the season it’s 5.8 a game over, 20th of 136.
Of the 10 teams at 4–4 against a schedule this hard, Georgia State’s +5.8 is 2nd.
last 4
−3.1
before
+14.6
020
Oct 3, 2026 vs Old Dominion +30.0
Oct 17, 2026 @ James Madison −19.5
Oct 24, 2026 @ Arkansas State −8.5
Oct 31, 2026 vs Coastal Carolina −14.5
Lately
- Covered 6 of its last 10count
Nov 22, 2025 @ Troy −2.5- Nov 29, 2025 @ Old Dominion +11.5
- N Sep 4 vs North Carolina A&T +21
Sep 12 @ Kennesaw State +21.5
Sep 19 @ UCF +3.5
Sep 26 vs Northern Illinois +12.5- Oct 3 vs Old Dominion +30
- Oct 17 @ James Madison −19.5
- Oct 24 @ Arkansas State −8.5
- Oct 31 vs Coastal Carolina −14.5
- Lost 6 of its last 10count
- Nov 22, 2025 @ Troy −12
- Nov 29, 2025 @ Old Dominion −17
- N Sep 4 vs North Carolina A&T +49
- Sep 12 @ Kennesaw State +14
- Sep 19 @ UCF −14
- Sep 26 vs Northern Illinois +21
- Oct 3 vs Old Dominion +32
- Oct 17 @ James Madison −27
- Oct 24 @ Arkansas State −6
- Oct 31 vs Coastal Carolina −11
- Won 4 of its last 10 by 10 or morecount
- Nov 22, 2025 @ Troy −12
- Nov 29, 2025 @ Old Dominion −17
- N Sep 4 vs North Carolina A&T +49
- Sep 12 @ Kennesaw State +14
- Sep 19 @ UCF −14
- Sep 26 vs Northern Illinois +21
- Oct 3 vs Old Dominion +32
- Oct 17 @ James Madison −27
- Oct 24 @ Arkansas State −6
- Oct 31 vs Coastal Carolina −11
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +2.9 · 46th | +4.8 · 105th |
| Total yards | +28 · 42nd | +25 · 89th |
| Touchdowns | +0.4 · 48th | +0.8 · 110th |
| Passing efficiency | +15.5 · 29th | +0.9 · 73rd |
| 3rd downs | +1.1% · 52nd | −9.4% · 11th |
| Turnovers | +0.6 · 129th | +0.1 · 48th |
| Sacks | −0.5 · 41st | +0.3 · 49th |
| Penalty yards | +5.4 · 89th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.