Arkansas State @ 
Southern Miss
Arkansas State 23, Southern Miss 13Arkansas State was favored by 6, and Arkansas State covered.
| a game | Arkansas State1 game | Southern Miss1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −6.4 | −19.1 |
| Points allowed | −15.4 | −1.5 |
| Total offense, yards | −122 | −118 |
| Total defense, yards | −104 | −51 |
| Touchdowns | −1.6 | −2.0 |
| Passer rating | −13.4 | −47.4 |
| Third downs | −17.3% | −6.7% |
| Sacks | −2.2 | +2.1 |
| Penalty yards | −8.8 | −2.5 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | −1.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −1.2 | +0.8 |
Who put up numbers
Southern Miss
- Passing yardsLandry Lyddy208 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsLandry Lyddy1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsSteven Robinson84 rushing yards
Arkansas State
Analysis
Southern Miss
- Southern Miss had lost 4 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 5.
- Southern Miss was 0.4 points a game over the closing line this season, 67th of 136.fact · rankedits form →−4.0 against the line this game.
Arkansas State
- Arkansas State was 1.8 points a game under the closing line this season, 88th of 136.fact · rankedits form →+4.0 against the line this game.
The series
- Southern Miss leads the series 9–4 since 1963.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Southern Miss had failed to cover 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
- Southern Miss was 1–3 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
- In a conference game, Southern Miss’ passing yards were 195.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.8 over expected.
- At home, Southern Miss’ pass attempts were 14.9 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 6.2 over expected.
- At night, Southern Miss’ penalty yards were 24.0 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 5.7 under expected.
- In a conference game, Arkansas State’s third-down conversion rate were 23.5% over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.2% under expected.
- On the road, Arkansas State’s penalty yards were 34.7 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 7.4 under expected.
- At night, Arkansas State’s third-down conversion rate were 17.7% over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 23.2% under expected.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | at Southern Miss | Arkansas State 23, Southern Miss 13 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | at Arkansas State | Southern Miss 27, Arkansas State 21 |
| Oct 19, 2024 | at Southern Miss | Arkansas State 44, Southern Miss 28 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | at Arkansas State | Arkansas State 44, Southern Miss 37 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | at Southern Miss | Southern Miss 20, Arkansas State 19 |
| Sep 13, 2008 | at Arkansas State | Southern Miss 27, Arkansas State 24 |
| Nov 24, 2007 | at Southern Miss | Southern Miss 16, Arkansas State 10 |
| Dec 20, 2005 | neutral | Southern Miss 31, Arkansas State 19 |
| Oct 18, 1980 | at Southern Miss | Southern Miss 35, Arkansas State 0 |
| Nov 17, 1979 | at Southern Miss | Southern Miss 14, Arkansas State 6 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 16, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.