Putting Up Numbers· college football

Southern Miss

3–5 · 2–2 Sun Belt · Blake Anderson, 2nd season

Beat Louisiana Monroe 35–21, Oct 31 · Next: vs James Madison, Thu, Nov 5 · analysis

Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters

Against the closing line

Southern Miss has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, by 2.6 points a game. Over the season it’s 3.0 a game over, 36th of 136.

Of the 8 teams at 3–5 against a schedule this hard, Southern Miss’ +3.0 is 2nd.

  • Troy Oct 6, 2026 @ Troy −11.5
  • Arkansas State Oct 17, 2026 vs Arkansas State −4.0
  • Louisiana Oct 24, 2026 vs Louisiana +15.5
  • Louisiana Monroe Oct 31, 2026 @ Louisiana Monroe +10.5

every game, with the line

Lately

  • Lost 7 of its last 10count
    • Troy Nov 29, 2025 vs Troy −10
    • Western Kentucky Dec 23, 2025 vs Western Kentucky −11
    • Alcorn State Sep 5 vs Alcorn State +46
    • Auburn Sep 12 @ Auburn −35
    • UConn Sep 19 vs UConn −28
    • Tulane Sep 26 @ Tulane −3
    • Troy Oct 6 @ Troy −21
    • Arkansas State Oct 17 vs Arkansas State −10
    • Louisiana Oct 24 vs Louisiana +4
    • Louisiana Monroe Oct 31 @ Louisiana Monroe +14
  • Failed to cover 6 of its last 10count
    • Troy Nov 29, 2025 vs Troy −17
    • Western Kentucky Dec 23, 2025 vs Western Kentucky −14
    • Alcorn State Sep 5 vs Alcorn State +26
    • Auburn Sep 12 @ Auburn −2.5
    • UConn Sep 19 vs UConn −24.5
    • Tulane Sep 26 @ Tulane +14.5
    • Troy Oct 6 @ Troy −11.5
    • Arkansas State Oct 17 vs Arkansas State −4
    • Louisiana Oct 24 vs Louisiana +15.5
    • Louisiana Monroe Oct 31 @ Louisiana Monroe +10.5
  • Won 6 of its last 10 at homecount
    • Jackson State Sep 6, 2025 vs Jackson State +18
    • Appalachian State Sep 13, 2025 vs Appalachian State +16
    • Jacksonville State Sep 27, 2025 vs Jacksonville State +17
    • Louisiana Monroe Oct 25, 2025 vs Louisiana Monroe +28
    • Texas State Nov 15, 2025 vs Texas State −27
    • Troy Nov 29, 2025 vs Troy −10
    • Alcorn State Sep 5 vs Alcorn State +46
    • UConn Sep 19 vs UConn −28
    • Arkansas State Oct 17 vs Arkansas State −10
    • Louisiana Oct 24 vs Louisiana +4

every kind

Against expected,

Against expected, this season, a game
a gameoffensedefense
Points−4.3 · 91st+11.0 · 126th
Total yards−9 · 68th+105 · 133rd
Touchdowns−0.3 · 82nd+1.2 · 118th
Passing efficiency−17.2 · 109th+13.5 · 108th
3rd downs−9.7% · 126th+4.6% · 107th
Turnovers+0.2 · 91st−0.5 · 115th
Sacks+0.3 · 97th+0.7 · 17th
Penalty yards+5.0 · 88th

Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.

every stat, every team

Seasons

Method

  • Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
  • A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
  • Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
  • Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.