
Southern Miss
3–5 · 2–2 Sun Belt · Blake Anderson, 2nd season
Beat Louisiana Monroe 35–21, Oct 31 · Next: vs James Madison, Thu, Nov 5 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
Southern Miss has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, by 2.6 points a game. Over the season it’s 3.0 a game over, 36th of 136.
Of the 8 teams at 3–5 against a schedule this hard, Southern Miss’ +3.0 is 2nd.
last 4
+2.6
before
+3.4
-20020
Oct 6, 2026 @ Troy −11.5
Oct 17, 2026 vs Arkansas State −4.0
Oct 24, 2026 vs Louisiana +15.5
Oct 31, 2026 @ Louisiana Monroe +10.5
Lately
- Lost 7 of its last 10count
Nov 29, 2025 vs Troy −10
Dec 23, 2025 vs Western Kentucky −11
Sep 5 vs Alcorn State +46
Sep 12 @ Auburn −35
Sep 19 vs UConn −28
Sep 26 @ Tulane −3
Oct 6 @ Troy −21
Oct 17 vs Arkansas State −10
Oct 24 vs Louisiana +4
Oct 31 @ Louisiana Monroe +14
- Failed to cover 6 of its last 10count
Nov 29, 2025 vs Troy −17
Dec 23, 2025 vs Western Kentucky −14
Sep 5 vs Alcorn State +26
Sep 12 @ Auburn −2.5
Sep 19 vs UConn −24.5
Sep 26 @ Tulane +14.5
Oct 6 @ Troy −11.5
Oct 17 vs Arkansas State −4
Oct 24 vs Louisiana +15.5
Oct 31 @ Louisiana Monroe +10.5
- Won 6 of its last 10 at homecount
Sep 6, 2025 vs Jackson State +18
Sep 13, 2025 vs Appalachian State +16
Sep 27, 2025 vs Jacksonville State +17
Oct 25, 2025 vs Louisiana Monroe +28
Nov 15, 2025 vs Texas State −27
Nov 29, 2025 vs Troy −10
Sep 5 vs Alcorn State +46
Sep 19 vs UConn −28
Oct 17 vs Arkansas State −10
Oct 24 vs Louisiana +4
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −4.3 · 91st | +11.0 · 126th |
| Total yards | −9 · 68th | +105 · 133rd |
| Touchdowns | −0.3 · 82nd | +1.2 · 118th |
| Passing efficiency | −17.2 · 109th | +13.5 · 108th |
| 3rd downs | −9.7% · 126th | +4.6% · 107th |
| Turnovers | +0.2 · 91st | −0.5 · 115th |
| Sacks | +0.3 · 97th | +0.7 · 17th |
| Penalty yards | +5.0 · 88th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
- 2026 3–5
- 2025 7–6
- 2024 1–11
- 2023 3–9
- 2022 7–6
- 2021 3–9
- 2020 3–7
- 2019 7–6
- 2018 6–5
- 2017 8–5
- 2016 7–6
- 2015 9–5
- 2014 3–9
- 2013 1–11
- 2012 0–12
- 2011 12–2
- 2010 8–5
- 2009 7–6
- 2008 7–6
- 2007 7–6
- 2006 9–5
- 2005 7–5
- 2004 7–5
- 2003 9–4
- 2002 7–6
- 2001 6–5
- 2000 8–4
- 1999 9–3
- 1998 7–5
- 1997 9–3
- 1996 8–3
- 1995 6–5
- 1994 6–5
- 1993 3–7–1
- 1992 7–4
- 1991 4–7
- 1990 8–4
- 1989 5–6
- 1988 10–2
- 1987 6–5
- 1986 6–5
- 1985 7–4
- 1984 4–7
- 1983 7–4
- 1982 7–4
- 1981 9–2–1
- 1980 9–3
- 1979 6–4–1
- 1978 7–4
- 1977 6–6
- 1976 3–8
- 1975 8–3
- 1974 6–5
- 1973 6–4–1
- 1972 3–7–1
- 1971 6–5
- 1970 5–6
- 1969 5–5
- 1968 4–6
- 1967 6–3
- 1966 6–4
- 1965 7–2
- 1964 6–3
- 1963 5–3–1
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.