Putting Up Numbers· college football

Western Kentucky @ Indiana

Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Unranked at No. 4

Indiana 38, Western Kentucky 0Indiana was favored by 44.5, and Western Kentucky covered.

Western Kentucky at Indiana: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameWestern Kentucky1 gameIndiana1 game
Points−17.0+5.3
Points allowed+7.8−21.2
Total offense, yards−128+113
Total defense, yards+111−174
Touchdowns−1.9+1.1
Passer rating−52.0+53.8
Third downs−9.9%−19.0%
Sacks+0.5−1.5
Penalty yards−39.4−41.1
Turnovers forced−1.3−0.2
Turnovers lost−0.2−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Indiana

Western Kentucky

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Indiana

  • Indiana’s third-down conversion rate were 16.7% higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 19.2% under expected.
  • Indiana had beaten 23 straight unranked teams.streakthe runs →Extended to 24.
  • Indiana had won 18 straight.streakthe runs →Extended to 19.
  • Indiana had won 17 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 18.
  • Indiana had beaten 6 straight ranked teams.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Indiana had won 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

  • Indiana leads the series 6–0 since 2008. Indiana has won the last 6.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • Indiana had won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or more.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Against a ranked opponent, Western Kentucky’s points were 14.4 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 8.9 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at IndianaIndiana 38, Western Kentucky 0
Sep 17, 2022at IndianaIndiana 33, Western Kentucky 30
Sep 25, 2021at Western KentuckyIndiana 33, Western Kentucky 31
Sep 19, 2015at IndianaIndiana 38, Western Kentucky 35
Sep 18, 2010at Western KentuckyIndiana 38, Western Kentucky 21
Aug 30, 2008at IndianaIndiana 31, Western Kentucky 13

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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