Western Kentucky
3–5 · 2–2 Conference USA · Tyson Helton, 8th season
Lost to Delaware 35–21, Oct 27 · Next: at Middle Tennessee, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
Western Kentucky has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, 0.4 points a game under it. Over the season it’s 4.4 a game under, 114th of 136.
Of the 9 teams at 3–5 against a schedule this hard, Western Kentucky’s −4.4 is 8th.
last 4
−0.4
before
−8.5
-20020
Oct 1, 2026 @ New Mexico State −19.5
Oct 8, 2026 vs Missouri State +23.0
Oct 14, 2026 @ Sam Houston +11.5
Oct 27, 2026 vs Delaware −16.5
Lately
- Won 8 of its last 10 at homecount
Nov 30, 2024 vs Jacksonville State +2- Aug 23, 2025 vs Sam Houston +17
- N Aug 30, 2025 vs North Alabama +49
Sep 20, 2025 vs Nevada +15
Oct 14, 2025 vs Florida International −19- Nov 1, 2025 vs New Mexico State +19
Nov 15, 2025 vs Middle Tennessee +16- M Sep 26 vs Mercyhurst +45
- Oct 8 vs Missouri State +21
- Oct 27 vs Delaware −14
- Covered 7 of its last 10 at homecount
Nov 16, 2024 vs Louisiana Tech −16.5- Nov 30, 2024 vs Jacksonville State +2.5
- Aug 23, 2025 vs Sam Houston +7.5
- Sep 20, 2025 vs Nevada +7.5
- Oct 14, 2025 vs Florida International −29
- Nov 1, 2025 vs New Mexico State +11.5
- Nov 15, 2025 vs Middle Tennessee +2.5
- M Sep 26 vs Mercyhurst +5
- Oct 8 vs Missouri State +23
- Oct 27 vs Delaware −16.5
- Lost 6 of its last 10count
- Nov 29, 2025 @ Jacksonville State −3
Dec 23, 2025 vs Southern Miss +11- Sep 5 @ Nevada −35
Sep 12 @ Georgia −50
Sep 19 @ Indiana −38- M Sep 26 vs Mercyhurst +45
- Oct 1 @ New Mexico State −21
- Oct 8 vs Missouri State +21
- Oct 14 @ Sam Houston +13
- Oct 27 vs Delaware −14
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −8.0 · 122nd | +9.2 · 122nd |
| Total yards | −24 · 85th | +39 · 107th |
| Touchdowns | −0.9 · 108th | +1.2 · 120th |
| Passing efficiency | −34.0 · 133rd | +16.6 · 114th |
| 3rd downs | −0.4% · 69th | −5.6% · 32nd |
| Turnovers | +0.2 · 101st | −0.2 · 88th |
| Sacks | +0.2 · 83rd | −0.8 · 112th |
| Penalty yards | −15.8 · 13th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.