USC @ Indiana

Sat, Nov 14 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) · No. 18 at No. 6

The line has it Indiana 34, USC 24.Indiana −10, total 58.5, as of Nov 3. A line moves until kickoff. The median of the books College Football Data lists, through Streak King.

USC at Indiana: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a game	USC9 games	Indiana9 games
	+8.5	+4.4
	−1.4	−14.0
	+66	+52
	−21	−109
	+1.1	+0.6
	+30.6	+29.2
	+11.1%	−1.9%
	0.0	+1.5
	−0.9	−17.6
	−0.4	−0.2
	−0.3	−0.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the ten biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Indiana

Indiana has failed to cover 4 straight.streakthe runs →
Indiana has beaten 29 straight unranked teams, tied for the longest active winning streak vs unranked teams in FBS.streakthe runs →
Indiana has won 8 straight on the road, the longest active road winning streak in FBS.streakthe runs →
Indiana is 4.5 points a game under the closing line this season, 115th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

USC

USC is 4.1 points a game under the closing line this season, 111th of 136.fact · rankedits form →

The series

USC leads the series 4–0 since 1953. USC has won the last 4.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

Indiana has won 9 of its last 10.countits form →
Indiana has won 9 of its last 10 at home.countits form →
Indiana is 1–7 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
Against a ranked opponent, Indiana’s pass attempts are 13.8 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
USC has won 7 of its last 10.countits form →
USC has failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →
Without Waymond Jordan, USC’s pass attempts are 19.5 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Since Kayden Dixon-Wyatt’s last game, USC’s pass attempts are 12.9 under expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
Without Trent Mosley, USC’s points allowed are 8.9 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →

Every meeting

Date	Where	Score
Sep 18, 1982	at USC	USC 28, Indiana 7
Sep 19, 1981	at Indiana	USC 21, Indiana 0
Jan 1, 1968	neutral	USC 14, Indiana 3
Oct 2, 1953	at USC	USC 27, Indiana 14

Method

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
A game with no box score sits out.