Putting Up Numbers· college football

Georgia State @ UCF

Sat, Sep 19, 2026

UCF 44, Georgia State 30UCF was favored by 17.5, and Georgia State covered.

Georgia State at UCF: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameGeorgia State1 gameUCF1 game
Points+5.8+15.4
Points allowed+16.4+2.4
Total offense, yards+113−2
Total defense, yards+23+98
Touchdowns+0.2+1.5
Passer rating−28.0−49.8
Third downs+10.4%−11.4%
Sacks−2.4+0.2
Penalty yards+2.2−6.8
Turnovers forced−0.2+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.8−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

UCF

Georgia State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The series

If you squint

  • UCF had lost 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • UCF had won 7 of its last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • Georgia State had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 19, 2026at UCFUCF 44, Georgia State 30

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 18, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.