Putting Up Numbers· college football

Buffalo @ Florida International

Sat, Sep 12, 2026

Florida International 33, Buffalo 20Florida International was favored by 8.5, and Florida International covered.

Buffalo at Florida International: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameBuffalo1 gameFlorida International1 game
Points−1.4+3.8
Points allowed+12.2−1.3
Total offense, yards−22+152
Total defense, yards+190−25
Touchdowns−0.4+0.7
Passer rating−15.3+43.6
Third downs−13.6%+8.7%
Sacks−1.7+0.7
Penalty yards−28.1−19.6
Turnovers forced−0.2+1.8
Turnovers lost+1.8−0.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Florida International

Buffalo

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Buffalo

  • Buffalo’s passing yards were 107.7 higher in a conference game than in a nonconference game against expected over its last 25 games, 1st of 132 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 87.4 over expected.

The series

If you squint

  • Buffalo had failed to cover 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 12, 2026at Florida InternationalFlorida International 33, Buffalo 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 11, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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