Toledo @ 
Michigan State
Michigan State 30, Toledo 20Michigan State was favored by 10, and the game pushed.
| a game | Toledo1 game | Michigan State1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −5.6 | +1.0 |
| Points allowed | +8.2 | −11.0 |
| Total offense, yards | −84 | +26 |
| Total defense, yards | +84 | −162 |
| Touchdowns | +0.1 | −1.4 |
| Passer rating | +22.7 | +13.5 |
| Third downs | −27.4% | −5.8% |
| Sacks | +0.6 | +0.6 |
| Penalty yards | −13.6 | −8.8 |
| Turnovers forced | −1.2 | −0.2 |
| Turnovers lost | −0.1 | −1.3 |
Who put up numbers
Michigan State
- Passing yardsAlessio Milivojevic247 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsAlessio Milivojevic1 passing touchdown
- Rushing yardsCam Edwards98 rushing yards
Toledo
Analysis
Michigan State
- Michigan State had covered 5 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
Toledo
- Toledo had won 6 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
The series
- Michigan State leads the series 2–0 since 1925. Michigan State has won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- Michigan State had lost 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
- Michigan State had covered 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | at Michigan State | Michigan State 30, Toledo 20 |
| Nov 8, 1925 | at Michigan State | Michigan State 58, Toledo 0 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 3, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.