Toledo
6–2 · 3–1 Mid-American · Mike Jacobs, 1st season
Beat Western Michigan 45–38, Oct 24 · Next: vs UMass, Wed, Nov 11 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
Toledo has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, 5.6 points a game under it. Over the season it’s 1.6 a game over, 56th of 136.
last 4
−5.6
before
+8.9
-20020
Oct 3, 2026 @ Ball State −6.0
Oct 10, 2026 vs Buffalo −33.5
Oct 17, 2026 @ Eastern Michigan +12.5
Oct 24, 2026 vs Western Michigan +4.5
Lately
- Won 9 of its last 10 at homecount
- M Sep 13, 2025 vs Morgan State +60
Sep 27, 2025 vs Akron +42
Oct 18, 2025 vs Kent State +35
Nov 5, 2025 vs Northern Illinois +39- Nov 22, 2025 vs Ball State +29
- C Sep 12 vs Central Connecticut +53
Sep 19 vs Temple +1
Sep 26 vs San Diego State +25- Oct 10 vs Buffalo −15
- Oct 24 vs Western Michigan +7
- Won 7 of its last 10count
Nov 29, 2025 @ Central Michigan +18
Dec 23, 2025 vs Louisville −5
Sep 4 @ Michigan State −10- C Sep 12 vs Central Connecticut +53
- Sep 19 vs Temple +1
- Sep 26 vs San Diego State +25
- Oct 3 @ Ball State +15
- Oct 10 vs Buffalo −15
- Oct 17 @ Eastern Michigan +20
- Oct 24 vs Western Michigan +7
- Covered 7 of its last 10 at homecount
Sep 6, 2025 vs Western Kentucky +16- Sep 27, 2025 vs Akron +20.5
- Oct 18, 2025 vs Kent State +9.5
- Nov 5, 2025 vs Northern Illinois +23.5
- Nov 22, 2025 vs Ball State −0.5
- C Sep 12 vs Central Connecticut +16.5
- Sep 19 vs Temple −3.5
- Sep 26 vs San Diego State +22.5
- Oct 10 vs Buffalo −33.5
- Oct 24 vs Western Michigan +4.5
- Beat 7 of its last 10 unranked opponentscount
- Nov 29, 2025 @ Central Michigan +18
- Dec 23, 2025 vs Louisville −5
- Sep 4 @ Michigan State −10
- C Sep 12 vs Central Connecticut +53
- Sep 19 vs Temple +1
- Sep 26 vs San Diego State +25
- Oct 3 @ Ball State +15
- Oct 10 vs Buffalo −15
- Oct 17 @ Eastern Michigan +20
- Oct 24 vs Western Michigan +7
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | +5.4 · 31st | +5.7 · 106th |
| Total yards | +69 · 15th | +23 · 88th |
| Touchdowns | +0.7 · 33rd | +0.5 · 97th |
| Passing efficiency | +16.5 · 26th | −1.5 · 63rd |
| 3rd downs | −1.2% · 74th | −1.2% · 54th |
| Turnovers | 0.0 · 65th | +0.2 · 35th |
| Sacks | −1.1 · 14th | +1.0 · 9th |
| Penalty yards | +17.5 · 124th |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Toledo’s splits
Seasons
- 2026 6–2
- 2025 8–5
- 2024 8–5
- 2023 11–3
- 2022 9–5
- 2021 7–6
- 2020 4–2
- 2019 6–6
- 2018 7–6
- 2017 11–3
- 2016 9–4
- 2015 10–2
- 2014 9–4
- 2013 7–5
- 2012 9–4
- 2011 9–4
- 2010 8–5
- 2009 5–7
- 2008 3–9
- 2007 5–7
- 2006 5–7
- 2005 9–3
- 2004 9–4
- 2003 8–4
- 2002 9–5
- 2001 10–2
- 2000 10–1
- 1999 6–5
- 1998 7–5
- 1997 9–3
- 1996 7–4
- 1995 11–0–1
- 1994 6–4–1
- 1993 4–7
- 1992 8–3
- 1991 5–5–1
- 1990 9–2
- 1989 6–5
- 1988 6–5
- 1987 3–7–1
- 1986 7–4
- 1985 4–7
- 1984 8–3–1
- 1983 9–2
- 1982 6–5
- 1981 9–3
- 1980 4–7
- 1979 7–3–1
- 1978 2–9
- 1977 2–9
- 1976 3–8
- 1975 5–6
- 1974 6–5
- 1973 3–8
- 1972 6–5
- 1971 12–0
- 1970 12–0
- 1969 11–0
- 1968 5–4–1
- 1967 9–1
- 1966 2–7–1
- 1965 5–5
- 1964 2–8
- 1963 2–7
- 1962 3–6
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.