Michigan State

2–6 · 0–5 Big Ten · Pat Fitzgerald, 1st season

Lost to UCLA 28–10, Oct 24 · Next: at Michigan, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis

Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters

Against the closing line

Michigan State has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, 3.8 points a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.6 a game under, 78th of 136.

last 4

−3.8

before

+2.5

-10010

Oct 3, 2026 @ Wisconsin −19.5
Oct 10, 2026 vs Illinois +1.5
Oct 17, 2026 vs Northwestern +4.5
Oct 24, 2026 @ UCLA −1.5

every game, with the line

Lately

Lost 6 straightstreak

Sep 19 @ Notre Dame −17
Sep 26 vs Nebraska −18
Oct 3 @ Wisconsin −28
Oct 10 vs Illinois −1
Oct 17 vs Northwestern −3
Oct 24 @ UCLA −18

the games, with the score

Michigan State has lost 6 straight. Every game of it.
Date	Game	Result	Score
Sep 19, 2026	Michigan State @No. 3 Notre Dame	L	10–27
Sep 26, 2026	Michigan State vsNebraska	L	13–31
Oct 3, 2026	Michigan State @Wisconsin	L	3–31
Oct 10, 2026	Michigan State vsIllinois	L	37–38
Oct 17, 2026	Michigan State vsNo. 25 Northwestern	L	21–24
Oct 24, 2026	Michigan State @No. 9 UCLA	L	10–28

Covered 6 of its last 10count
- Nov 22, 2025 @ Iowa +14.5
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Maryland +6
- Sep 4 vs Toledo 0
- Sep 12 vs Eastern Michigan +10.5
- Sep 19 @ Notre Dame +11.5
- Sep 26 vs Nebraska −12
- Oct 3 @ Wisconsin −19.5
- Oct 10 vs Illinois +1.5
- Oct 17 vs Northwestern +4.5
- Oct 24 @ UCLA −1.5
Covered 6 of its last 10 on the roadcount
- Oct 26, 2024 @ Michigan −3.5
- Nov 16, 2024 @ Illinois −20
- Sep 20, 2025 @ USC +4.5
- Oct 4, 2025 @ Nebraska +1.5
- Oct 18, 2025 @ Indiana +1.5
- Nov 1, 2025 @ Minnesota +1.5
- Nov 22, 2025 @ Iowa +14.5
- Sep 19 @ Notre Dame +11.5
- Oct 3 @ Wisconsin −19.5
- Oct 24 @ UCLA −1.5

every kind

More at College Football Streak King

Against expected,

Against expected, this season, a game
a game	offense	defense
Points	−3.5 · 87th	−2.0 · 53rd
Total yards	−61 · 120th	−29 · 42nd
Touchdowns	−0.4 · 85th	−0.1 · 67th
Passing efficiency	−8.4 · 84th	+2.9 · 78th
3rd downs	−0.3% · 68th	−1.1% · 55th
Turnovers	+0.1 · 74th	−0.6 · 126th
Sacks	+1.1 · 123rd	−0.2 · 88th
Penalty yards	−14.9 · 17th

Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.

every stat, every team

Seasons

2026 2–6
2025 4–8
2024 0–7
2023 0–8
2022 0–7
2021 11–2
2020 2–5
2019 7–6
2018 7–6
2017 10–3
2016 3–9
2015 12–2
2014 11–2
2013 13–1
2012 7–6
2011 11–3
2010 11–2
2009 6–7
2008 9–4
2007 7–6
2006 4–8
2005 5–6
2004 5–7
2003 8–5
2002 4–8
2001 7–5
2000 5–6
1999 10–2
1998 6–6
1997 7–5
1996 6–6
1995 6–5–1
1994 5–6
1993 6–6
1992 5–6
1991 3–8
1990 8–3–1
1989 8–4
1988 6–5–1
1987 9–2–1
1986 6–5
1985 7–5
1984 6–6
1983 4–6–1
1982 2–9
1981 5–6
1980 3–8
1979 5–6
1978 8–3
1977 7–3–1
1976 4–6–1
1975 7–4
1974 7–3–1
1973 5–6
1972 5–5–1
1971 6–5
1970 4–6
1969 4–6
1968 5–5
1967 3–7
1966 9–0–1
1965 10–1
1964 4–5
1963 6–2–1
1962 5–4
1961 7–2
1960 6–2–1
1959 5–4
1958 3–5–1
1957 8–1
1956 7–2
1955 9–1
1954 3–6
1953 9–1
1952 9–0
1951 9–0
1950 8–1
1949 6–3
1948 6–2–2
1947 7–2
1946 5–5
1945 5–3–1
1944 6–1
1942 4–3–2
1941 5–3–1
1940 3–4–1
1939 4–4–1
1938 6–3
1937 8–2
1936 6–1–2
1935 6–2
1934 8–1
1933 4–2–2
1932 7–1
1931 5–3–1
1930 5–1–2
1929 5–3
1928 3–4–1
1927 4–5
1926 3–4–1
1925 3–5
1918 4–3

Method

Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.