Fresno State @ 
USC
USC 39, Fresno State 0USC was favored by 22, and USC covered.
| a game | Fresno State1 game | USC1 game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −26.1 | +14.3 |
| Points allowed | +8.9 | −26.7 |
| Total offense, yards | −245 | +156 |
| Total defense, yards | +151 | −245 |
| Touchdowns | −2.9 | +2.3 |
| Passer rating | −62.6 | +103.8 |
| Third downs | −17.6% | +24.0% |
| Sacks | −1.7 | +3.1 |
| Penalty yards | −44.1 | −9.5 |
| Turnovers forced | +0.8 | +0.7 |
| Turnovers lost | +0.9 | +0.7 |
Who put up numbers
USC
- Passing yardsJayden Maiava349 passing yards
- Passing touchdownsJayden Maiava3 passing touchdowns
- Rushing yardsWaymond Jordan67 rushing yards
Fresno State
Analysis
USC
- USC’s points were 12.0 higher at home than away against expected over its last 25 games, 2nd of 136 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 8.1 over expected.
- USC had failed to cover 5 straight.streakthe runs →Ended here.
- USC had won 8 straight at home.streakthe runs →Extended to 9.
The series
- USC leads the series 5–1 since 1992. USC has won the last 5.seriesevery meeting →
If you squint
- USC had beaten 9 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 10 of 11.
- Fresno State had won 7 of its last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
Every meeting
| Date | Where | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | at USC | USC 39, Fresno State 0 |
| Sep 17, 2022 | at USC | USC 45, Fresno State 17 |
| Aug 31, 2019 | at USC | USC 31, Fresno State 23 |
| Aug 30, 2014 | at USC | USC 52, Fresno State 13 |
| Dec 21, 2013 | neutral | USC 45, Fresno State 20 |
| Dec 29, 1992 | neutral | Fresno State 24, USC 7 |
Method
- Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
- “This season” and the analysis are the games through Sep 3, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
- Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
- A game with no box score sits out.