Fresno State
5–3 · 2–2 Pac-12 · Matt Entz, 2nd season
Beat Oregon State 38–22, Oct 31 · Next: at Utah State, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
Fresno State has beaten the line in 3 of its last 4, by 9.0 points a game. Over the season it’s 7.6 a game over, 10th of 136.
Of the 6 teams at 5–3 against a schedule this hard, Fresno State’s +7.6 is 2nd.
last 4
+9.0
before
+6.3
020
Oct 3, 2026 @ Washington State +22.0
Oct 10, 2026 vs Boise State +2.0
Oct 17, 2026 @ San Diego State −10.0
Oct 31, 2026 vs Oregon State +22.0
Lately
- Covered 4 straight at homestreak
- S Sep 12 vs Sacramento State +28
Sep 26 vs Rice +2- Oct 10 vs Boise State +2
- Oct 31 vs Oregon State +22
the games, with the score and the spread
Fresno State has covered 4 straight at home. Every game of it. Date Game Spread Result Score Sep 12, 2026 Fresno State vs
Sacramento State−18 W 49–3 Sep 26, 2026 Fresno State vsRice−12 W 38–24 Oct 10, 2026 Fresno State vsNo. 23 Boise State+9 L 31–38 Oct 31, 2026 Fresno State vsOregon State+6 W 38–22 - Covered 8 of its last 10count
Nov 29, 2025 @ San Jose State +23.5
Dec 27, 2025 vs Miami (OH) +9.5
Sep 4 @ USC −17- S Sep 12 vs Sacramento State +28
- Sep 19 @ San Jose State +12
- Sep 26 vs Rice +2
- Oct 3 @ Washington State +22
- Oct 10 vs Boise State +2
- Oct 17 @ San Diego State −10
- Oct 31 vs Oregon State +22
- Beat 8 of its last 10 unranked opponentscount
Nov 15, 2025 vs Wyoming +21
Nov 22, 2025 vs Utah State −11- Nov 29, 2025 @ San Jose State +27
- Dec 27, 2025 vs Miami (OH) +15
- S Sep 12 vs Sacramento State +46
- Sep 19 @ San Jose State +16
- Sep 26 vs Rice +14
- Oct 3 @ Washington State +20
- Oct 17 @ San Diego State −3
- Oct 31 vs Oregon State +16
- Won 7 of its last 10count
- Nov 29, 2025 @ San Jose State +27
- Dec 27, 2025 vs Miami (OH) +15
- Sep 4 @ USC −39
- S Sep 12 vs Sacramento State +46
- Sep 19 @ San Jose State +16
- Sep 26 vs Rice +14
- Oct 3 @ Washington State +20
- Oct 10 vs Boise State −7
- Oct 17 @ San Diego State −3
- Oct 31 vs Oregon State +16
- Won 7 of its last 10 by 10 or morecount
- Nov 29, 2025 @ San Jose State +27
- Dec 27, 2025 vs Miami (OH) +15
- Sep 4 @ USC −39
- S Sep 12 vs Sacramento State +46
- Sep 19 @ San Jose State +16
- Sep 26 vs Rice +14
- Oct 3 @ Washington State +20
- Oct 10 vs Boise State −7
- Oct 17 @ San Diego State −3
- Oct 31 vs Oregon State +16
- Won 7 of its last 10 at homecount
Aug 30, 2025 vs Georgia Southern +28
Sep 13, 2025 vs Southern +49
Oct 4, 2025 vs Nevada +3- Oct 25, 2025 vs San Diego State −23
- Nov 15, 2025 vs Wyoming +21
- Nov 22, 2025 vs Utah State −11
- S Sep 12 vs Sacramento State +46
- Sep 26 vs Rice +14
- Oct 10 vs Boise State −7
- Oct 31 vs Oregon State +16
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −1.9 · 78th | −2.6 · 49th |
| Total yards | −53 · 115th | +38 · 104th |
| Touchdowns | −0.3 · 79th | −0.6 · 31st |
| Passing efficiency | −7.7 · 82nd | +2.2 · 77th |
| 3rd downs | −2.6% · 88th | −0.1% · 67th |
| Turnovers | −0.5 · 21st | +0.6 · 16th |
| Sacks | +0.1 · 78th | +0.7 · 21st |
| Penalty yards | −27.3 · 2nd |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
- 2026 5–3
- 2025 9–4
- 2024 6–7
- 2023 9–4
- 2022 10–4
- 2021 10–3
- 2020 3–3
- 2019 4–8
- 2018 12–2
- 2017 10–4
- 2016 1–11
- 2015 3–9
- 2014 6–8
- 2013 11–2
- 2012 9–4
- 2011 4–9
- 2010 8–5
- 2009 8–5
- 2008 7–6
- 2007 9–4
- 2006 4–8
- 2005 8–5
- 2004 9–3
- 2003 9–5
- 2002 9–5
- 2001 11–3
- 2000 7–5
- 1999 8–5
- 1998 5–6
- 1997 6–6
- 1996 4–7
- 1995 5–7
- 1994 5–7–1
- 1993 8–4
- 1992 9–4
- 1991 10–2
- 1990 8–2–1
- 1989 11–1
- 1988 10–2
- 1987 6–5
- 1986 9–2
- 1985 11–0–1
- 1984 6–6
- 1983 6–5
- 1982 11–1
- 1981 5–6
- 1980 5–6
- 1979 4–7
- 1978 3–8
- 1977 9–2
- 1976 5–6
- 1975 3–8
- 1974 5–7
- 1973 2–9
- 1972 6–4–1
- 1971 6–5
- 1970 8–4
- 1969 6–4
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.