Putting Up Numbers· college football

NC State @ Virginia

Sat, Aug 29, 2026

Virginia 34, NC State 8Virginia was favored by 4, and Virginia covered.

NC State at Virginia: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameNC State1 gameVirginia1 game
Points−16.5+5.0
Points allowed+8.2−20.3
Total offense, yards−206+6
Total defense, yards+49−227
Touchdowns−1.9+0.3
Passer rating−55.9+115.0
Third downs−7.5%−19.1%
Sacks−1.9+0.1
Penalty yards−44.1−6.4
Turnovers forced−1.2+0.8
Turnovers lost+0.9−1.2

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Virginia

NC State

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Virginia

  • Virginia had won 4 straight as the underdog.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
  • Virginia had won 4 straight on the road.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

NC State

  • NC State had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.

The series

If you squint

  • Virginia had won 8 of its last 10.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • Virginia had beaten 8 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 9 of 11.
  • NC State had beaten 7 of its last 10 unranked opponents.countits form →Now 7 of 11.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Aug 29, 2026at VirginiaVirginia 34, NC State 8
Sep 6, 2025at NC StateNC State 35, Virginia 31
Sep 22, 2023at VirginiaNC State 24, Virginia 21
Oct 10, 2020at VirginiaNC State 38, Virginia 21
Sep 29, 2018at NC StateNC State 35, Virginia 21
Nov 3, 2012at NC StateVirginia 33, NC State 6
Oct 22, 2011at VirginiaNC State 28, Virginia 14
Oct 27, 2007at NC StateNC State 29, Virginia 24
Oct 28, 2006at VirginiaVirginia 14, NC State 7
Nov 1, 2003at NC StateNC State 51, Virginia 37

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The ten biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Aug 28, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • Touchdowns are passing and rushing. Turnovers are interceptions and fumbles lost. The passer rating is the NCAA’s over the team’s passers that game, and third downs and penalty yards are ESPN’s team box (sportsdataverse, CC BY 4.0). A night game kicked off at 6pm or later at the home team’s clock.
  • A game with no box score sits out.