Virginia

4–5 · 2–4 ACC · Tony Elliott, 5th season

Lost to Wake Forest 51–7, Oct 31 · Next: vs California, Sat, Nov 14 · analysis

Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters

Against the closing line

Virginia hasn’t beaten the line in any of its last 4, 11.9 points a game under it. Over the season it’s 5.7 a game under, 120th of 136.

last 4

−11.9

before

−0.7

-20020

Oct 10, 2026 vs Syracuse −11.0
Oct 17, 2026 @ SMU 0.0
Oct 23, 2026 vs Duke −5.5
Oct 31, 2026 @ Wake Forest −31.0

every game, with the line

Lately

Won 8 of its last 10 at homecount
- Sep 20, 2025 vs Stanford +28
- Sep 26, 2025 vs Florida State +8
- Oct 18, 2025 vs Washington State +2
- Nov 8, 2025 vs Wake Forest −7
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Virginia Tech +20
- Aug 29 vs NC State +26
- N Sep 11 vs Norfolk State +56
- Sep 26 vs Delaware +39
- Oct 10 vs Syracuse +3
- Oct 23 vs Duke −3
Covered 6 of its last 10 at homecount
- Sep 20, 2025 vs Stanford +11.5
- Sep 26, 2025 vs Florida State +15
- Oct 18, 2025 vs Washington State −14.5
- Nov 8, 2025 vs Wake Forest −14
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Virginia Tech +11.5
- Aug 29 vs NC State +22
- N Sep 11 vs Norfolk State +9
- Sep 26 vs Delaware +19.5
- Oct 10 vs Syracuse −11
- Oct 23 vs Duke −5.5
Beat 6 of its last 10 unranked opponentscount
- Nov 15, 2025 @ Duke +17
- Nov 29, 2025 vs Virginia Tech +20
- Dec 6, 2025 vs Duke −7
- Aug 29 vs NC State +26
- N Sep 11 vs Norfolk State +56
- Sep 19 vs West Virginia −11
- Sep 26 vs Delaware +39
- Oct 3 @ Florida State −31
- Oct 10 vs Syracuse +3
- Oct 23 vs Duke −3

every kind

Against expected,

Against expected, this season, a game
a game	offense	defense
Points	−5.2 · 100th	−3.7 · 39th
Total yards	−47 · 106th	−41 · 30th
Touchdowns	−0.5 · 91st	−0.6 · 33rd
Passing efficiency	+6.0 · 51st	−19.3 · 19th
3rd downs	−10.7% · 128th	−2.9% · 42nd
Turnovers	−0.6 · 12th	−0.5 · 113th
Sacks	+1.3 · 129th	−0.1 · 83rd
Penalty yards	−10.2 · 30th

Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.

every stat, every team

Seasons

2026 4–5
2025 11–3
2024 5–7
2023 3–9
2022 3–7
2021 6–6
2020 5–5
2019 9–5
2018 8–5
2017 6–7
2016 2–10
2015 4–8
2014 5–7
2013 2–10
2012 4–8
2011 8–5
2010 4–8
2009 3–9
2008 5–7
2007 9–4
2006 5–7
2005 7–5
2004 8–4
2003 8–5
2002 9–5
2001 5–7
2000 6–6
1999 7–5
1998 9–3
1997 7–4
1996 7–5
1995 9–4
1994 9–3
1993 7–5
1992 7–4
1991 8–3–1
1990 8–4
1989 10–3
1988 7–4
1987 8–4
1986 3–8
1985 6–5
1984 8–2–2
1983 6–5
1982 2–9
1981 1–10
1980 4–7
1979 6–5
1978 2–9
1977 1–9–1
1976 2–9
1975 1–10
1974 4–7
1973 4–7
1972 4–7
1971 3–8
1970 5–6
1969 3–7
1968 7–3
1967 5–5
1966 4–6
1965 4–6
1964 5–5
1963 2–7–1
1962 5–5
1961 4–6
1960 0–10
1959 0–10
1958 1–9
1957 3–6–1
1956 3–7
1955 1–9
1954 3–6
1953 1–8
1952 8–2
1951 8–1
1950 8–2
1949 7–2
1948 5–3–1
1947 7–3
1946 4–4–1
1945 7–2
1944 6–1–2
1943 3–4–1
1942 2–6–1
1941 8–1
1940 4–5
1939 5–4
1938 4–4–1
1937 2–7
1936 2–7
1935 1–5–4
1934 3–6
1933 2–6–2
1932 5–4
1931 1–7–2
1930 4–6
1929 4–3–2
1928 2–6–1
1927 5–4
1926 6–2–2
1925 7–1–1
1924 5–4
1923 3–5–1
1922 4–4–1
1921 5–4
1920 5–2–2
1919 2–5–2
1916 4–5
1915 8–1
1914 8–1
1913 7–1
1912 6–3
1911 8–2
1910 6–2
1909 7–1
1908 7–0–1
1907 6–3–1
1905 5–4
1904 6–3
1903 7–2–1
1902 8–1–1
1890 5–2

Method

Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.