NC State
4–4 · 2–3 ACC · Dave Doeren, 14th season
Beat California 31–10, Oct 31 · Next: vs Duke, Sat, Nov 7 · analysis
Best by position: quarterbacks · running backs · wide receivers · tight ends · defenders · kickers · punters
Against the closing line
NC State has beaten the line in 2 of its last 4, 2.9 points a game under it. Over the season it’s 0.4 a game over, 68th of 136.
Of the 13 teams at 4–4 against a schedule this hard, NC State’s +0.4 is 5th.
last 4
−2.9
before
+3.6
-2002040
Oct 3, 2026 vs Louisville +7.5
Oct 10, 2026 vs Wake Forest −20.0
Oct 23, 2026 @ Stanford −10.5
Oct 31, 2026 vs California +11.5
Lately
- Won 8 of its last 10 at homecount
Sep 27, 2025 vs Virginia Tech −2- C Oct 4, 2025 vs Campbell +46
Nov 1, 2025 vs Georgia Tech +12
Nov 21, 2025 vs Florida State +10
Nov 29, 2025 vs North Carolina +23
Sep 11 vs Richmond +73
Sep 26 vs Appalachian State +10- Oct 3 vs Louisville +3
- Oct 10 vs Wake Forest −24
- Oct 31 vs California +21
- Covered 7 of its last 10 at homecount
Sep 6, 2025 vs Virginia +1.5- Sep 27, 2025 vs Virginia Tech −12
- Nov 1, 2025 vs Georgia Tech +16.5
- Nov 21, 2025 vs Florida State +16.5
- Nov 29, 2025 vs North Carolina +16
- Sep 11 vs Richmond +40
- Sep 26 vs Appalachian State −2.5
- Oct 3 vs Louisville +7.5
- Oct 10 vs Wake Forest −20
- Oct 31 vs California +11.5
- Won 6 of its last 10count
- Nov 29, 2025 vs North Carolina +23
Dec 19, 2025 vs Memphis +24- Aug 29 @ Virginia −26
- Sep 11 vs Richmond +73
Sep 19 @ Vanderbilt −4- Sep 26 vs Appalachian State +10
- Oct 3 vs Louisville +3
- Oct 10 vs Wake Forest −24
- Oct 23 @ Stanford −3
- Oct 31 vs California +21
Against expected,
| a game | offense | defense |
|---|---|---|
| Points | −2.4 · 82nd | +4.2 · 103rd |
| Total yards | −33 · 89th | +30 · 92nd |
| Touchdowns | −0.1 · 72nd | +0.7 · 109th |
| Passing efficiency | −1.2 · 64th | +31.1 · 129th |
| 3rd downs | +8.9% · 18th | −0.2% · 65th |
| Turnovers | +0.1 · 77th | −0.2 · 98th |
| Sacks | −0.2 · 61st | −0.8 · 110th |
| Penalty yards | −8.0 · 41st |
Over (+) or under (−) what its opponents usually allow, a game, and where that stands among 136 teams, the best first. Lit is the top ten or the bottom ten. Penalty yards read against the league’s mean, since nobody allows them.
Seasons
- 2026 4–4
- 2025 8–5
- 2024 6–7
- 2023 9–4
- 2022 8–5
- 2021 9–3
- 2020 8–4
- 2019 4–8
- 2018 9–4
- 2017 9–4
- 2016 7–6
- 2015 7–6
- 2014 8–5
- 2013 3–9
- 2012 7–6
- 2011 8–5
- 2010 9–4
- 2009 5–7
- 2008 6–7
- 2007 5–7
- 2006 3–9
- 2005 7–5
- 2004 5–6
- 2003 8–5
- 2002 11–3
- 2001 7–5
- 2000 8–4
- 1999 6–6
- 1998 7–5
- 1997 6–5
- 1996 3–8
- 1995 3–8
- 1994 9–3
- 1993 7–5
- 1992 9–3–1
- 1991 9–3
- 1990 7–5
- 1989 7–5
- 1988 8–3–1
- 1987 4–7
- 1986 8–3–1
- 1985 3–8
- 1984 3–8
- 1983 3–8
- 1982 6–5
- 1981 4–7
- 1980 6–5
- 1979 7–4
- 1978 9–3
- 1977 8–4
- 1976 3–7–1
- 1975 7–4–1
- 1974 9–2–1
- 1973 9–3
- 1972 8–3–1
- 1971 3–8
- 1970 3–7–1
- 1969 3–6–1
- 1968 6–4
- 1967 9–2
- 1966 5–5
- 1965 6–4
- 1964 5–5
- 1963 8–3
- 1962 3–6–1
- 1961 4–6
- 1960 6–3–1
- 1959 1–9
- 1958 2–7–1
- 1957 7–1–2
- 1956 3–7
- 1955 4–5–1
- 1954 2–8
- 1953 1–9
- 1952 3–7
- 1951 3–7
- 1950 5–4–1
- 1949 3–7
- 1948 3–6–1
- 1947 5–3–1
- 1946 8–3
- 1945 3–6
- 1944 7–2
- 1943 3–6
- 1942 4–4–2
- 1941 4–5–2
- 1940 3–6
- 1939 2–8
- 1938 3–7–1
- 1937 5–3–1
- 1936 3–7
- 1935 6–4
- 1934 2–6–1
- 1933 1–5–3
- 1932 6–1–2
- 1931 3–6
- 1930 2–8
- 1929 1–8
- 1928 4–5–1
- 1927 9–1
- 1926 4–6
- 1925 3–5–1
- 1924 2–6–2
- 1923 3–7
- 1922 4–6
- 1921 3–3–3
- 1920 7–3
- 1919 7–2
- 1918 1–3
- 1917 6–2–1
- 1916 2–5
- 1915 3–3–1
- 1914 2–3–1
- 1913 6–1
- 1912 4–3
- 1911 5–3
- 1910 4–0–2
- 1909 6–1
- 1908 6–1
- 1904 3–1–2
- 1902 3–4–2
Method
- Against the line is each game’s points of margin less what the closing line expected, from College Football Streak King’s lines. A game nobody lined sits out, and a push hasn’t beaten it. Lately is the last 4 games with one.
- A schedule this hard means the mean rating of the opponents it’s played is within 5.2 points of the team’s, two thirds of a standard deviation of the league’s schedules, and a rating is what the season’s games say about a team’s margin against an average team. The teams beside it have its record.
- Against expected is each game against what the opponent usually gave up in its other games, with half the home edge, averaged. A game against a team with no other game here sits out.
- Passing efficiency is the NCAA’s passer rating. Turnovers on offense are the ones it lost, and on defense the ones it forced. Sacks on offense are the ones its quarterbacks took, and they start in 2024.