Browns @ Steelers

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Steelers 27, Browns 6The Steelers were favored by 3.5, and the Steelers covered.

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

The Steelers were 0.8 points a game over the closing line this season, 14th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+17.5 against the line this game.

The Browns' points allowed were 8.3 lower at home than away against expected over their last 35 games, 31st of 32 teams.fact · rankedthe split →This game: 4.6 over expected.
The Browns had covered 5 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
The Browns had won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →This game didn’t count toward it.
The Browns were 1.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 11th of 32, and 7.8 worse away than at home over their last 35, 30th of 32.fact · rankedits form →−17.5 against the line this game.

The Steelers lead the series 76–42–1 since 1966. The Steelers have won 6 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

The Steelers had won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
The Steelers were 4–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
Against a division opponent, the Steelers' passing yards were 57.2 over expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 65.7 under expected.
At home, the Steelers' sacks taken were 0.9 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 1.5 under expected.
The Browns had covered 8 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
The Browns had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
The Browns were 4–2 against the line as an underdog this season.countits form →Didn’t cover.
Against a division opponent, the Browns' points allowed were 5.5 under expected in 2 games. 2 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 4.6 over expected.

Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
“This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
A game with no box score sits out.