Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Steelers @ Bengals

Sun, Nov 15 · Paycor Stadium

The line has it Bengals 26, Steelers 22.Bengals −3.5, total 47.5, as of Nov 4. A line moves until kickoff. From nflverse’s schedule file, which doesn’t name a book.

Steelers at Bengals: against expected, a game, this season, All games
a gameSteelers8 gamesBengals7 games
−0.6+6.8
−4.8−0.2
+4+38
−18+45
0+68
+4−30
−0.5+0.6
+0.6−0.5
−0.2+0.2
+0.3+0.4

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game. Lit is among the five biggest either way. Tap a row for the games.

Analysis

What’s true going in. Each line says how it stood up; you judge.

Bengals

  • The Bengals are 2.6 points a game over the closing line this season, 9th of 32, and 3.2 worse at home than away over their last 35, 28th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

Steelers

  • The Steelers have covered 4 straight, tied for the longest active cover streak in the NFL.streakthe runs →
  • The Steelers have won 4 straight, tied for the longest active winning streak in the NFL.streakthe runs →
  • The Steelers have covered 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →
  • The Steelers have won 4 straight at home.streakthe runs →
  • The Steelers are 2.9 points a game over the closing line this season, 8th of 32.fact · rankedits form →

The series

  • The Steelers lead the series 73–41 since 1970. The Steelers have won the last 2.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Bengals have won 7 of their last 10.countits form →
  • The Bengals are 2–3–1 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →
  • Without B.J. Hill, the Bengals' carries are 6.7 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • At home, the Bengals' passing yards are 127.3 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • After a bye, the Bengals' points of margin are 20.0 over expected in 1 game. One game is one game, not a sample, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Without Rico Dowdle, the Steelers' carries are 5.4 under expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinwithout him →
  • On the road, the Steelers' sacks taken are 2.4 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →
  • Against a division opponent, the Steelers' rushing yards are 28.7 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Sep 27, 2026at SteelersSteelers 30, Bengals 27
Nov 16, 2025at SteelersSteelers 34, Bengals 12
Oct 16, 2025at BengalsBengals 33, Steelers 31
Jan 4, 2025at SteelersBengals 19, Steelers 17
Dec 1, 2024at BengalsSteelers 44, Bengals 38
Dec 23, 2023at SteelersSteelers 34, Bengals 11
Nov 26, 2023at BengalsSteelers 16, Bengals 10
Nov 20, 2022at SteelersBengals 37, Steelers 30
Sep 11, 2022at BengalsSteelers 23, Bengals 20
Nov 28, 2021at BengalsBengals 41, Steelers 10

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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