Putting Up Numbers· NFL

Ravens @ Bills

Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Bills 36, Ravens 10The Bills were favored by 3, and the Bills covered.

Ravens at Bills: against expected, a game, this season, This game
a gameRavens1 gameBills1 game
Points−14.0+12.5
Points allowed+10.1−12.7
Total offense, yards−192+92
Total defense, yards+67−185
Passing yards−141+56
Rushing yards−35+36
Yards an attempt−3.7+1.3
Sacks taken+1.8−1.3
Turnovers+1.7+0.7
Turnovers forced+0.7+1.8

Each number is over (+) or under (−) what the team’s opponents usually allow, a game.

Who put up numbers

Bills

Ravens

Analysis

What was true going in. Each line says how it stood up, and how it came out.

Bills

  • The Bills were 0.5 points a game over the closing line this season, 16th of 32.fact · rankedits form →+23.0 against the line this game.

Ravens

  • The Ravens were 2.9 points a game under the closing line this season, 27th of 32, and 9.2 better away than at home over their last 35, 1st of 32.fact · rankedits form →−23.0 against the line this game.

The series

  • The Bills lead the series 8–7 since 1999. The Bills have won the last 3. The Bills have won 4 straight at home in the series.seriesevery meeting →

If you squint

  • The Bills had won 7 of their last 10.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Bills had won 7 of their last 10 at home.countits form →Now 8 of 11.
  • The Bills were 3–2 against the line as a favorite this season.countits form →Covered.
  • At home, the Bills’ turnovers were 1.1 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 0.7 over expected.
  • The Ravens had won 7 of their last 10 on the road.countits form →Now 7 of 11.
  • On the road, the Ravens’ rushing yards were 48.8 over expected in 3 games. 3 games is still too small a sample for the statistics to say much, but maybe you can find something if you squint.thinthe split →This game: 41.2 under expected.

Every meeting

DateWhereScore
Nov 1, 2026at BillsBills 36, Ravens 10
Sep 7, 2025at BillsBills 41, Ravens 40
Jan 19, 2025at BillsBills 27, Ravens 25
Sep 29, 2024at RavensRavens 35, Bills 10
Oct 2, 2022at RavensBills 23, Ravens 20
Jan 16, 2021at BillsBills 17, Ravens 3
Dec 8, 2019at BillsRavens 24, Bills 17
Sep 9, 2018at RavensRavens 47, Bills 3
Sep 11, 2016at RavensRavens 13, Bills 7
Sep 29, 2013at BillsBills 23, Ravens 20

Method

  • Over or under is each game against what the opponent usually allowed, or usually scored, in its other games that season, with half the home edge, averaged over the team’s games. The five biggest numbers in the league either way are lit.
  • “This season” and the analysis are the games through Oct 31, the day before, so the page says what was true going in. “This game” is the night’s own numbers against expected.
  • A game with no box score sits out.

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